// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Joseph Duffy
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Joseph
Duffy

NICKNAME"Irish Joe"·IRELAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-5-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Joseph Duffy
FIGHTER -
IRE🇮🇪
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
38
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
21 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
76%
16/21 bouts
FINISH RATE
88%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 63% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.68
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.78
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.96
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
64%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#70
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1531
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
49th
percentile · average opponent rated 1545 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
16th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.22 per fight)

10 rated fights · opponents rated in 48% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUL 18, 2020 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 10
DEC · 2
4
KO/TKO
25%
10
SUB
63%
2
DEC
13%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
20%
2
SUB
40%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
88% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
63%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
13%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
21 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 9, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE53GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING25CARDIO55AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT35STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (64%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=21 bouts
Striking25
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio55
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat35
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (64%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record21 bouts
Striking25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat35 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2008WMAR 2008WDEC 2008WMAY 2009WJUL 2009WNOV 2009WMAR 2010WNOV 2010WFEB 2011WMAY 2011WJUL 2011LOCT 2011WAUG 2014WNOV 2014WMAR 2015WJUL 2015LJAN 2016WJUL 2016WMAR 2017LNOV 2017LMAR 2019LJUL 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 85, SUB R1.
  6. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R4.
  13. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  14. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  22. Start, JUL 2020, momentum score 79, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Parke), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
21/21 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
19%
1
5%
-
-
-
5
total
SUB
10
48%
-
1
5%
1
5%
-
12
total
DEC
-
-
4
19%
-
-
4
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 21 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
19%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
21 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Joel AlvarezJul 18, 2020
SubmissionR1 · 2:25
UFC Fight Night 172 - Figueiredo vs. Benavidez 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Marc DiakieseMar 16, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 147 - Till vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS James VickNov 4, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 4:59
UFC 217 - Bisping vs. St. Pierre
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Reza MadadiMar 18, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 107 - Manuwa vs. Anderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mitch ClarkeJul 7, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 0:25
UFC Fight Night 90 - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 195 - Lawler vs. Condit
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ivan JorgeJul 18, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 3:05
UFC Fight Night 72 - Bisping vs. Leites
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Jake LindseyMar 14, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 1:47
UFC 185 - Pettis vs. dos Anjos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch to the Body)
W
VS Julien BoussugeNov 15, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 0:36
CWFC 74 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 74
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee)
W
VS Damien LapilusAug 16, 2014
SubmissionR3 · 2:18
CWFC 70 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 70
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Ivan MusardoOct 1, 2011
SubmissionR4 · 4:25
CWFC 44 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 44
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Francis HeagneyJul 9, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CWFC 43 - Cage Warriors Fighting Championship 43
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 16-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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The pick is free.

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BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28