// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Mitch Clarke
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Mitch
Clarke

NICKNAME"Danger Zone"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
11-5-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Mitch Clarke
FIGHTER -
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
40
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
16 BOUTS
WIN
11
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
69%
11/16 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 64% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.35
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
34%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.27
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
47%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.64
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
15%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#110
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1464
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
32nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1531 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
14th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.25 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 44% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 9, 2017 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 7
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
9%
7
SUB
64%
3
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
40%
1
SUB
20%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
9%
SUBANY ROUND · 7 fights
64%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
27%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
16 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 14, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING60CHIN73STRIKING22CARDIO61AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE38RECOVERY25
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=11 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin73
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=16 bouts
Striking22
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio61
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense38
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (47%)

Recovery25
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins11 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record16 bouts
Striking22 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense38 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (47%)Not recorded
Recovery25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2007WMAY 2007WOCT 2007WSEP 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009WOCT 2009WMAR 2010WSEP 2010WAPR 2011LDEC 2011LJUL 2012WJUN 2013WMAY 2014LAPR 2015LJUL 2016LSEP 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2007, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 85, SUB R2.
  6. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  7. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  13. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  17. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Briere), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
16/16 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
6%
2
13%
-
-
-
3
total
SUB
4
25%
4
25%
-
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
5
31%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 16 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
31%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
16 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Alex WhiteSep 9, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 4:36
UFC 215 - Nunes vs. Shevchenko 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Joseph DuffyJul 7, 2016
SubmissionR1 · 0:25
UFC Fight Night 90 - Dos Anjos vs. Alvarez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Michael ChiesaApr 4, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 63 - Mendes vs. Lamas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Al IaquintaMay 24, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 0:57
UFC 173 - Barao vs. Dillashaw
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Brabo Choke)
W
VS John MaguireJun 15, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 161 - Evans vs. Henderson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Anton KuivanenJul 21, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 149 - Faber vs. Barao
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS John CholishDec 10, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 4:36
UFC 140 - Jones vs. Machida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Eddie RinconApr 23, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
EFC 8 - Aggression
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Josh MachanSep 10, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 0:43
TFC 11 - Full Force
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Brandon MacArthurMar 19, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 1:14
TFC 10 - High Voltage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Travis BriereOct 2, 2009
DecisionR3 · 3:00
Adrenaline 1 - Clarke vs. Briere
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Adam HunspergerMay 30, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 0:56
TFC 7 - Full Throttle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 11-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Mitch Clarke

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Mitch ClarkeUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28