// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Julian Erosa
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Julian
Erosa

NICKNAME"Juicy J"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
34-14-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Xtreme Couture
NEXT FIGHT
VSJeongYeong Lee
UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan
OCTOBER 31, 2026
Julian Erosa
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! STALE
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
37
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
48 BOUTS
WIN
34
LOSS
14
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
71%
34/48 bouts
FINISH RATE
84%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 3-2
WWWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: STALE
FIGHTING STYLE
BRAWLER

Brawler fighter with no dominant single weapon — 41% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.18
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
48%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
6.31
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
48%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.73
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
43%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.70
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 114 other rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#32
of 115 on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1580
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
70th
percentile · average opponent rated 1556 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
45th
percentile · matched what opponents' ratings predicted (0.00 per fight)

34 rated fights · opponents rated in 71% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 28, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (34)
n = 34
KO/TKO · 12
SUB · 14
DEC · 8
12
KO/TKO
35%
14
SUB
41%
8
DEC
24%
// LOSSES (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 9
DEC · 5
9
KO/TKO
64%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
36%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
84% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 12 fights
35%
SUBANY ROUND · 14 fights
41%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
24%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
48 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 27, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER50TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN66STRIKING77CARDIO66AGGRESSION79SUB THREAT35STR DEFENSE40RECOVERY69
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Aggression. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power50
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=34 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin66
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=48 bouts
Striking77
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio66
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression79
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat35
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)

Str Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (48%)

Recovery69
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=14 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins34 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record48 bouts
Striking77 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat35 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.7 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (48%)Not recorded
Recovery69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.14 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2010WOCT 2010WFEB 2011WAPR 2011WJUN 2011WOCT 2011WDEC 2011WFEB 2012WAPR 2012WSEP 2012LDEC 2012WAPR 2013LJUL 2013WFEB 2014WMAY 2014WDEC 2014WFEB 2015WJUL 2015WAUG 2015WAUG 2015LAUG 2015WDEC 2015LMAR 2016WMAY 2016WOCT 2016LNOV 2016WFEB 2017WAPR 2017LJUL 2017WNOV 2017WDEC 2017WJUN 2018LNOV 2018LMAR 2019LMAY 2019WFEB 2020WJUN 2020WFEB 2021LJUN 2021WSEP 2021WFEB 2022WSEP 2022LDEC 2022LAPR 2023WMAR 2024WJUL 2024WAPR 2025LMAY 2025LMAR 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 65, SUB R2.
  4. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 75, SUB R2.
  5. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 84, KO/TKO R3.
  6. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  7. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  8. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  9. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R4.
  10. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  12. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  13. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  15. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  16. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  18. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  19. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  20. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  23. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  26. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  27. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  28. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R3.
  31. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  32. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  33. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  35. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R3.
  36. Start, FEB 2020, momentum score 86, SUB R1.
  37. Start, JUN 2020, momentum score 96, SUB R3.
  38. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  39. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  40. Start, SEP 2021, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  41. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  42. Start, SEP 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  43. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  44. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  45. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  46. Start, JUL 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  47. Start, APR 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  48. Start, MAY 2025, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  49. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Coble), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 83.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
48/48 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
12
25%
6
13%
3
6%
-
-
21
total
SUB
4
8%
5
10%
4
8%
1
2%
-
14
total
DEC
-
2
4%
8
17%
-
3
6%
13
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 18 of 48 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
27%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Xtreme Couture
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRST

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
48 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Lerryan DouglasMar 28, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 3:33
UFC Fight Night 271 - Adesanya vs. Pyfer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Melquizael CostaMay 17, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 256 - Burns vs. Morales
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Darren ElkinsApr 12, 2025
KO/TKOR1 · 4:15
UFC 314 - Volkanovski vs. Lopes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbow and Punches)
W
VS Christian RodriguezJul 13, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 4:49
UFC on ESPN 59 - Namajunas vs. Cortez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Ricardo RamosMar 23, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 2:15
UFC on ESPN 53 - Ribas vs. Namajunas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Fernando PadillaApr 29, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:41
UFC on ESPN 45 - Song vs. Simon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Alex CaceresDec 17, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 3:04
UFC Fight Night 216 - Cannonier vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Hakeem DawoduSep 10, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 279 - Diaz vs. Ferguson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steven PetersonFeb 5, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 200 - Hermansson vs. Strickland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Charles JourdainSep 4, 2021
SubmissionR3 · 2:56
UFC Fight Night 191 - Brunson vs. Till
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Seung Woo ChoiJun 19, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 1:37
UFC on ESPN 25 - Korean Zombie vs. Ige
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Nate LandwehrFeb 20, 2021
KO/TKOR1 · 0:56
UFC Fight Night 185 - Blaydes vs. Lewis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Flying Knee)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 34-14. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Julian Erosa

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Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27