// Roster Index›Featherweight›Dossier · Fernando Padilla
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNFEATHERWEIGHT

Fernando
Padilla

NICKNAME"El Valiente"
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-6-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Fernando Padilla
FIGHTER -
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'4"
AGE
29
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Featherweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
22 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
6
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
73%
16/22 bouts
FINISH RATE
88%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 56% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.07
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.77
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 48%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.74
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 60%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 114 other rated fighters on the UFC featherweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#90
of 115 on the UFC featherweight roster · Elo 1501
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
69th
percentile · average opponent rated 1555 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
47th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.02 per fight)

9 rated fights · opponents rated in 41% of recorded fights · last rated fight DEC 14, 2024 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 9
DEC · 2
5
KO/TKO
31%
9
SUB
56%
2
DEC
13%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 5
1
KO/TKO
17%
0
SUB
0%
5
DEC
83%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
88% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
31%
SUBANY ROUND · 9 fights
56%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
13%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
22 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER45TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING65CARDIO59AGGRESSION58SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power45
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=22 bouts
Striking65
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio59
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression58
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record22 bouts
Striking65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio59 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100APR 2015WAPR 2015WAUG 2015WNOV 2015WDEC 2015WJUN 2016WNOV 2016LMAR 2017WAUG 2017WSEP 2017WOCT 2017WNOV 2017LJAN 2018LMAY 2018WOCT 2018WJAN 2019LMAR 2019WFEB 2021WMAY 2021WAPR 2023LSEP 2023WMAR 2024LDEC 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, APR 2015, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, AUG 2015, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  5. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 91, SUB R1.
  7. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, MAR 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  9. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  10. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, MAY 2018, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  15. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 96, SUB R3.
  16. Start, JAN 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  20. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  22. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  23. Start, DEC 2024, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Guzman), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
22/22 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
18%
2
9%
-
-
-
6
total
SUB
8
36%
-
1
5%
-
-
9
total
DEC
-
-
7
32%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 22 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
32%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
22 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Sean WoodsonDec 14, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 4:58
UFC on ESPN 63 - Covington vs. Buckley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Luis PajueloMar 23, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 2:45
UFC on ESPN 53 - Ribas vs. Namajunas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Brabo Choke)
L
VS Kyle NelsonSep 16, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 227 - Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Julian ErosaApr 29, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:41
UFC on ESPN 45 - Song vs. Simon
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Cameron GravesMay 16, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 1:19
Fury FC 46 - Fury Fighting Championship 46
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbow)
W
VS Nate RichardsonFeb 12, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 99 - Dennis vs. Cherant
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Spike CarlyleMar 9, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CXF 17 - March Madness
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Donald SanchezJan 25, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 1:27
LFA 58 - Park vs. Willis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Fard MuhammadOct 27, 2018
SubmissionR3 · 1:19
KOTC - 20th Anniversary
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Kurt KinserMay 4, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
KOTC - Under Siege
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Talison Soares CostaJan 12, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFA 30 - Millender vs. Barnes
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jeff MesaNov 18, 2017
KO/TKOR1 · 3:36
Capone's Productions - Mid-Pac: Mid-Pacific Championships 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Featherweight. Professional record 16-6. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27