// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Kyle Nelson
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Kyle
Nelson

NICKNAME"The Monster"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
17-7-1
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
CURRENT GYM
House of Champions
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Kyle Nelson
FIGHTER -
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
35
STANCE
SWITCH
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
17
LOSS
7
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
68%
17/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
59%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 2-3
WLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 41% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.63
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
45%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.64
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.17
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
23%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
66%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#78
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1518
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
34th
percentile · average opponent rated 1533 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
32nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.09 per fight)

18 rated fights · opponents rated in 69% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 17, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 4
DEC · 7
6
KO/TKO
35%
4
SUB
24%
7
DEC
41%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
5
KO/TKO
71%
1
SUB
14%
2
DEC
29%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
59% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 6 fights
35%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
24%
DECFULL FIGHT · 7 fights
41%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
26 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 26, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER50TD DEFENSE58GRAPPLING60CHIN64STRIKING48CARDIO68AGGRESSION30SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY43
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power50
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=17 wins
TD Defense58
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (66%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin64
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking48
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio68
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression30
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery43
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins17 wins
TD Defense58 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (66%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2012WMAR 2012WOCT 2012WMAY 2013WJUN 2013WMAR 2014WMAY 2014LSEP 2015WAPR 2016WJUN 2016WOCT 2016WAPR 2017WMAY 2017WNOV 2018LDEC 2018LMAY 2019WSEP 2019LSEP 2020LJUL 2022FEB 2023WJUN 2023WSEP 2023WMAR 2024LSEP 2024WOCT 2025LMAR 2026LOCT 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R2.
  5. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 78, DEC R3.
  6. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  7. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 95, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 88, DEC R5.
  9. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 98, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  11. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, MAY 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2018, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  16. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 86, SUB R3.
  17. Start, SEP 2019, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, SEP 2020, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R3.
  19. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  20. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 83.
  21. Start, JUN 2023, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  22. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  23. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  26. Start, MAR 2026, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  27. Start, OCT 2026, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Turai), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 78.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/26 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
32%
2
8%
1
4%
-
-
11
total
SUB
3
12%
-
2
8%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
8
32%
-
1
4%
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 25 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
35%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
House of Champions
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
26 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Cristian PerezOct 17, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 0:27
UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
L
KO/TKOR1 · 0:24
UFC Fight Night 271 - Adesanya vs. Pyfer
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Matt FrevolaOct 18, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 262 - De Ridder vs. Allen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Steve GarciaSep 7, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 3:59
UFC Fight Night 242 - Burns vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Bill AlgeoMar 30, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 4:00
UFC on ESPN 54 - Blanchfield vs. Fiorot
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 227 - Grasso vs. Shevchenko 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Blake BilderJun 10, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 289 - Nunes vs. Aldana
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Doo Ho ChoiFeb 4, 2023
DrawR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 218 - Lewis vs. Spivak
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
L
VS Jai HerbertJul 23, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 208 - Blaydes vs. Aspinall
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR3 · 0:07
UFC Fight Night 177 - Waterson vs. Hill
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 1:36
UFC Fight Night 159 - Rodriguez vs. Stephens
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Matt SaylesMay 4, 2019
SubmissionR3 · 3:16
UFC Fight Night 151 - Iaquinta vs. Cowboy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 17-7-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28