// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Justin Jaynes
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Justin
Jaynes

NICKNAME"The Guitar Hero"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-11-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
Xtreme Couture
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Jaynes
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'7"
REACH
5'8"
AGE
37
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
29 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
62%
18/29 bouts
FINISH RATE
82%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 2-3
LLWLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.34
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
5.33
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.75
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
20%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.10
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#112
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1453
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
6th
percentile · average opponent rated 1503 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
19th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.19 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 54% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 24, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
8
KO/TKO
44%
6
SUB
33%
3
DEC
17%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 1
DEC · 6
4
KO/TKO
36%
1
SUB
9%
6
DEC
55%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
82% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
44%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
17%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
29 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER63TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN71STRIKING43CARDIO62AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT55STR DEFENSE71RECOVERY55
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power63
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (20%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin71
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=29 bouts
Striking43
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat55
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.1 per 15 min)

Str Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (62%)

Recovery55
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (20%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record29 bouts
Striking43 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat55 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Recovery55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2013WMAR 2013WMAY 2013WAUG 2013LAUG 2013WOCT 2013WAPR 2014LJUN 2014WSEP 2014LOCT 2014WMAY 2015WJUL 2015WSEP 2015WMAY 2016WAPR 2017LSEP 2017WFEB 2018WJUN 2018WFEB 2019WMAY 2019WJUN 2020LAUG 2020LDEC 2020LFEB 2021LJUN 2021LFEB 2022LOCT 2023WFEB 2024LMAY 2024WOCT 2025// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 65, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  5. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 68, DEC R3.
  6. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 78, SUB R2.
  7. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  9. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 85, DEC R3.
  11. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 92, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R5.
  15. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  16. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 100.
  18. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, FEB 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, JUN 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, AUG 2020, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  23. Start, DEC 2020, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, FEB 2021, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, JUN 2021, momentum score 69, DEC R3.
  26. Start, FEB 2022, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  27. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 55, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, FEB 2024, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  29. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 55, KO/TKO R1.
  30. Start, OCT 2025, momentum score 62, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Lamarr), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 62.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
28/29 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
36%
2
7%
-
-
-
12
total
SUB
4
14%
2
7%
1
4%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
-
8
29%
-
1
4%
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 12 of 28 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
31%, fights often go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
Xtreme Couture
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
BALANCED

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
29 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Marlon GonzalesOct 25, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Tuff-N-Uff - Tuff-N-Uff 149
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 4:35
Tuff-N-Uff - Tuff-N-Uff 137
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows and Punches)
W
VS Carson HardmanFeb 10, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 2:35
Fierce FC 30 - Fierce Fighting Championship 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Chris PadillaOct 21, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 3:10
UNF 13 - Up Next Fighting 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Carl DeatonFeb 5, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TWC - Total Warrior Combat: Unfinished Business
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Charles RosaJun 26, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 190 - Gane vs. Volkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Devonte SmithFeb 6, 2021
KO/TKOR2 · 3:28
UFC Fight Night 184 - Overeem vs. Volkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
KO/TKOR1 · 4:06
UFC on ESPN 19 - Hermansson vs. Vettori
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee to the Body and Elbows)
L
VS Gavin TuckerAug 8, 2020
SubmissionR3 · 1:43
UFC Fight Night 174 - Lewis vs. Oleynik
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Frank CamachoJun 20, 2020
KO/TKOR1 · 0:41
UFC on ESPN 11 - Blaydes vs. Volkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS James WarfieldMay 29, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 2:05
WXC 78 - Warrior Wednesday 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Brandon NobleFeb 1, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 3:59
WXC 75 - Night of Champions 11
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 18-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28