// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Chris Padilla
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Chris
Padilla

NICKNAME"Taco"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-6-1
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
CURRENT GYM
California Mixed Martial Arts
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Chris Padilla
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
6'2"
AGE
30
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
6
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
72%
18/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
83%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 4-0-1
WWW-W
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 50% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
6.19
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.88
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
49%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.13
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
21%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
80%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.28
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 110 other rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#39
of 111 on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1578
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
32nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1532 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
92nd
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.36 per fight)

20 rated fights · opponents rated in 80% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 22, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 6
DEC · 3
9
KO/TKO
50%
6
SUB
33%
3
DEC
17%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
1
KO/TKO
17%
2
SUB
33%
3
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
83% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
50%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
17%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
25 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER71TD DEFENSE89GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING87CARDIO62AGGRESSION72SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE42RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power71
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense89
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (80%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking87
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio62
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression72
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.28 per 15 min)

Str Defense42
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (49%)

Recovery50
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense89 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (80%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking87 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.28 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense42 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (49%)Not recorded
Recovery50 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAR 2014WMAR 2014WMAY 2014WJUN 2014WJUL 2014WNOV 2014WMAR 2015WDEC 2015LJUN 2016LDEC 2016WJUL 2017WOCT 2017LJAN 2018LAPR 2018LAUG 2021WMAR 2022LMAY 2022WJAN 2023WMAY 2023WOCT 2023WAPR 2024WSEP 2024WMAR 2025WNOV 2025APR 2026WAUG 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  6. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JUL 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  12. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  15. Start, AUG 2021, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  16. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JAN 2023, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  19. Start, MAY 2023, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  20. Start, OCT 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  21. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  22. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, MAR 2025, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  24. Start, NOV 2025, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, APR 2026, momentum score 100.
  26. Start, AUG 2026, momentum score 100, SUB R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Hernandez), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
25%
4
17%
-
-
-
10
total
SUB
5
21%
1
4%
2
8%
-
-
8
total
DEC
-
-
6
25%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
24%, fights rarely go the distance
GYM & TRAINING PARTNERS_

WHERE THE TRAINING HAPPENS

Camp affiliation matters for stylistic predictions. Who you spend 200 rounds a week with shapes how you fight on Saturday.

// CURRENT_GYM_
California Mixed Martial Arts
VIEW FIGHTER DIRECTORY →
// STYLE_INFLUENCE_
STRIKING-FIRSTCAGE DEFENSE

Style tags inferred from per-fight rate stats: striking-first, wrestling-heavy, sub grappling, cage defense.

// RESOLVED_TRAINING_PARTNERS

No linked training partners are available for this gym yet.

// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Nasrat HaqparastAug 22, 2026
SubmissionR3 · 4:59
UFC Fight Night 285 - Hernandez vs. Rodrigues
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
D
VS MarQuel MederosApr 11, 2026
DrawR3 · 5:00
UFC 327 - Prochazka vs. Ulberg
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
W
VS Ismael BonfimNov 8, 2025
KO/TKOR2 · 4:30
UFC Fight Night 264 - Bonfim vs. Brown
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jai HerbertMar 22, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 255 - Edwards vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Zhu RongSep 7, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 4:14
UFC Fight Night 242 - Burns vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS James LlontopApr 27, 2024
SubmissionR1 · 4:33
UFC on ESPN 55 - Nicolau vs. Perez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Justin JaynesOct 21, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 3:10
UNF 13 - Up Next Fighting 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Serob MinasyanMay 13, 2023
SubmissionR3 · 3:02
UNF 7 - Up Next Fighting 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Eljeria PorteeJan 28, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 4:07
UNF 4 - Up Next Fighting 4: Millender vs. Ahmadyar
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Darren Smith Jr.May 21, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UNF 1 - Up Next Fighting 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Emilio WilliamsMar 19, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 0:50
CG 31 - Celtic Gladiator 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch to the Body)
L
VS Devon BrockAug 7, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LXF 5 - Lights Out Xtreme Fighting 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 18-6-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Chris Padilla

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Chris PadillaUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record

Recent Analysis

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28