// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Justin Wilcox
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Justin
Wilcox

NICKNAME"The Silverback"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Justin Wilcox
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'6"
AGE
47
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
22 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
67%
14/22 bouts
FINISH RATE
29%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 71% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.82
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
28%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
71%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.43
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
16%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
100%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#51
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1555
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
67th
percentile · average opponent rated 1566 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
55th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.08 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 71% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 3, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 10
2
KO/TKO
14%
2
SUB
14%
10
DEC
71%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 2
DEC · 1
4
KO/TKO
57%
2
SUB
29%
1
DEC
14%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
29% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
14%
SUBANY ROUND · 2 fights
14%
DECFULL FIGHT · 10 fights
71%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
22 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 10, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING40CHIN65STRIKING36CARDIO74AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE91RECOVERY83
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense100
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (100%)

Grappling40
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin65
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=21 bouts
Striking36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense91
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (71%)

Recovery83
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense100 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (100%)Not recorded
Grappling40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record21 bouts
Striking36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense91 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (71%)Not recorded
Recovery83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2006LJUL 2006WJUL 2006LSEP 2006WMAR 2007WAPR 2007WAUG 2007WAUG 2008LSEP 2008WJUN 2009WAUG 2009WDEC 2009WMAR 2010WNOV 2010WAPR 2011JUN 2011LDEC 2011LJUL 2012WSEP 2013WOCT 2013LNOV 2013WMAR 2014LOCT 2014// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 45, DEC R2.
  4. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 35, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 42, DEC R3.
  6. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R3.
  8. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  9. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 58, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  11. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 75, SUB R3.
  12. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  14. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  15. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100.
  17. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  19. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  20. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Damm), bottomed at 35 (L vs Hornbuckle). Current reading: 87.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
21/22 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
24%
-
1
5%
-
-
6
total
SUB
2
10%
1
5%
1
5%
-
-
4
total
DEC
-
1
5%
10
48%
-
-
11
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 21 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
50%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
22 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Daniel StrausOct 3, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 0:50
Bellator MMA - Bellator 127
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Jason FischerMar 28, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 114
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Patricio FreireNov 15, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 2:23
Bellator MMA - Bellator 108
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Joe TaimangloOct 11, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 103
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Akop StepanyanSep 13, 2013
SubmissionR2 · 2:20
Bellator MMA - Bellator 99
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Jorge MasvidalJul 14, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Kennedy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Caros FodorDec 17, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 0:13
Strikeforce - Melendez vs. Masvidal
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
D
VS Gesias CavalcanteJun 18, 2011
No ContestR2 · 0:31
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Wilcox Poked in the Eye)
W
VS Rodrigo DammApr 1, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Challengers 15
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Vitor RibeiroNov 19, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Challengers 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Shamar BaileyMar 26, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Challengers 7
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Daisuke NakamuraDec 19, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Strikeforce - Evolution
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 14-7 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28