// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Keita Nakamura
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Keita
Nakamura

NICKNAME"K-Taro"·JAPAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
36-12-2
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Keita Nakamura
FIGHTER -
JAP🇯🇵
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
42
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
51 BOUTS
WIN
36
LOSS
12
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
72%
36/51 bouts
FINISH RATE
69%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 2-3
LWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 44% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.23
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
36%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.20
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
58%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
1.65
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
48%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#72
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1526
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1537 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
22nd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.12 per fight)

26 rated fights · opponents rated in 52% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 23, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (36)
n = 36
KO/TKO · 9
SUB · 16
DEC · 11
9
KO/TKO
25%
16
SUB
44%
11
DEC
31%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 1
DEC · 9
2
KO/TKO
17%
1
SUB
8%
9
DEC
75%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
69% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 9 fights
25%
SUBANY ROUND · 16 fights
44%
DECFULL FIGHT · 11 fights
31%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
51 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER36TD DEFENSE51GRAPPLING60CHIN83STRIKING21CARDIO82AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE62RECOVERY91
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power36
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=36 wins
TD Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (63%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=50 bouts
Striking21
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio82
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense62
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (58%)

Recovery91
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins36 wins
TD Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record50 bouts
Striking21 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense62 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (58%)Not recorded
Recovery91 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100OCT 2003WOCT 2003WDEC 2003DEC 2003WAPR 2004WMAY 2004WJUL 2004SEP 2004WNOV 2004WFEB 2005WJUN 2005WAUG 2005WSEP 2005WNOV 2005WDEC 2005WAPR 2006WJUL 2006WSEP 2006LDEC 2006LAPR 2007WNOV 2007LFEB 2008WSEP 2008LNOV 2008WJUN 2009WJUN 2010WOCT 2010WDEC 2010LSEP 2011WJAN 2012WMAR 2012WMAY 2012WDEC 2012WJUL 2013DEC 2013LFEB 2014WJUN 2014WOCT 2014WFEB 2015WJUL 2015WSEP 2015LFEB 2016WJUL 2016LOCT 2016WSEP 2017LAPR 2018WDEC 2018LAPR 2019WOCT 2019LDEC 2019WAPR 2023LMAR 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, OCT 2003, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 65.
  5. Start, APR 2004, momentum score 72, DEC R2.
  6. Start, MAY 2004, momentum score 79, DEC R2.
  7. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 89.
  9. Start, NOV 2004, momentum score 99, SUB R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  12. Start, AUG 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, DEC 2005, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  16. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  20. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  21. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 97, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  23. Start, SEP 2008, momentum score 97, DEC R2.
  24. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 94, DEC R3.
  26. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  27. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  28. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  29. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  30. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  32. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  34. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  35. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 100.
  36. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  37. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  39. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  40. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  41. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  42. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  43. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  44. Start, OCT 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  45. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  46. Start, APR 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  47. Start, DEC 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  48. Start, APR 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  49. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  50. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  51. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  52. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Abe), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 90.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
48/51 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
17%
3
6%
-
-
-
11
total
SUB
13
27%
3
6%
1
2%
-
-
17
total
DEC
-
6
13%
14
29%
-
-
20
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 11 of 48 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
39%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
51 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Roberto Satoshi de SouzaMar 23, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 1:43
Rizin FF - Landmark Vol. 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
W
VS Kiichi KunimotoApr 1, 2023
KO/TKOR2 · 0:49
Rizin FF - Rizin 41
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches and Soccer Kick)
L
VS Lorenz LarkinDec 29, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 237 - Fedor vs. Rampage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Marcos Yoshio de SouzaOct 12, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 1:18
Rizin FF - Rizin 19: Lightweight Grand Prix 1st Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Corner Stoppage)
L
VS Sultan AlievApr 20, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 149 - Overeem vs. Oleynik
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Salim TouahriDec 1, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 142 - Dos Santos vs. Tuivasa
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Anthony Rocco MartinApr 21, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 128 - Barboza vs. Lee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alex MoronoSep 22, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 117 - St. Preux vs. Okami
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Elizeu Zaleski dos SantosOct 1, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 96 - Lineker vs. Dodson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kyle NokeJul 13, 2016
SubmissionR2 · 4:59
UFC Fight Night 91 - McDonald vs. Lineker
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Tom BreeseFeb 27, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 84 - Silva vs. Bisping
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jingliang LiSep 26, 2015
SubmissionR3 · 2:17
UFC Fight Night 75 - Barnett vs. Nelson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 36-12-2 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28