// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Lorenz Larkin
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0WELTERWEIGHT

Lorenz
Larkin

NICKNAME"The Monsoon"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
27-8-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Lorenz Larkin
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'0"
AGE
40
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
37 BOUTS
WIN
27
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
77%
27/37 bouts
FINISH RATE
56%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-1
-WLWW
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 56% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.53
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
2.74
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
63%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.27
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
42%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
79%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.10
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#6
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1680
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
71st
percentile · average opponent rated 1585 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
67th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.19 per fight)

31 rated fights · opponents rated in 89% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 7, 2024

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (27)
n = 27
KO/TKO · 15
DEC · 12
15
KO/TKO
56%
0
SUB
0%
12
DEC
44%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 2
DEC · 6
2
KO/TKO
25%
0
SUB
0%
6
DEC
75%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
56% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 15 fights
56%
DECFULL FIGHT · 12 fights
44%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
37 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 12, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER79TD DEFENSE87GRAPPLING14CHIN81STRIKING48CARDIO74AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE73RECOVERY63
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Grappling.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power79
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=27 wins
TD Defense87
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (79%)

Grappling14
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=35 bouts
Striking48
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio74
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)

Str Defense73
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (63%)

Recovery63
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins27 wins
TD Defense87 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (79%)Not recorded
Grappling14 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record35 bouts
Striking48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio74 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.1 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense73 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (63%)Not recorded
Recovery63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2009WAUG 2009WFEB 2010WAPR 2010WMAY 2010WJUN 2010WJUL 2010WSEP 2010WNOV 2010WFEB 2011WAPR 2011WJUN 2011WSEP 2011JAN 2012WJUL 2012LAPR 2013WNOV 2013LJAN 2014LMAY 2014LAUG 2014WJAN 2015WJUN 2015LJAN 2016WMAY 2016WAUG 2016LJUN 2017LSEP 2017WJAN 2018WOCT 2018WOCT 2019WDEC 2019WMAY 2021WMAY 2022JUL 2022WFEB 2023LJUL 2023WJUN 2024WSEP 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2010, momentum score 63, DEC R3.
  4. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 70, DEC R3.
  5. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 91, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  11. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  12. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 100.
  15. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  17. Start, NOV 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 76, DEC R3.
  21. Start, JAN 2015, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 96, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 89, DEC R3.
  24. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 96, DEC R3.
  25. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  26. Start, JUN 2017, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  27. Start, SEP 2017, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, JAN 2018, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  29. Start, OCT 2018, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, OCT 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  32. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  34. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 100.
  35. Start, FEB 2023, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  36. Start, JUL 2023, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  37. Start, JUN 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  38. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Assis), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
35/37 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
13
37%
4
11%
-
-
-
17
total
SUB
-
-
-
-
-
0
total
DEC
-
-
17
49%
-
1
3%
18
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 17 of 35 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
49%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
37 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Levan ChokheliSep 7, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 1:53
Bellator Champions Series San Diego - Nurmagomedov vs. Shabliy
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Alan DominguezJun 28, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 4:46
Professional Fighters League - PFL 6: 2024 Regular Season
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knee and Punches)
L
VS Andrey KoreshkovJul 29, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA x Rizin 2 - Pitbull vs. de Souza
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Mukhamed BerkhamovFeb 4, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 1:41
Bellator 290 - Bader vs. Fedor 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Elbow)
D
VS Mukhamed BerkhamovJul 22, 2022
No ContestR1 · 2:52
Bellator 283 - Lima vs. Jackson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Illegal Elbow)
W
VS Kyle StewartMay 6, 2022
KO/TKOR1 · 4:44
Bellator 280 - Bader vs. Kongo 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees and Punches)
W
VS Rafael CarvalhoMay 7, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 258 - Archuleta vs. Pettis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Keita NakamuraDec 29, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 237 - Fedor vs. Rampage
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Andrey KoreshkovOct 4, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 229 - Koreshkov vs. Larkin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Ion PascuOct 12, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 207 - Mitrione vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Fernando GonzalezJan 26, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator 193 - Larkin vs. Gonzalez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Paul DaleySep 23, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 2:40
Bellator 183 - Henderson vs. Freire
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 27-8 (2 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28