// Roster Index›Middleweight›Dossier · Kevin Casey
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNMIDDLEWEIGHT

Kevin
Casey

NICKNAME"King"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
9-6-2
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Kevin Casey
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'5"
AGE
45
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Middleweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
19 BOUTS
WIN
9
LOSS
6
DRAW
2
WIN RATE
53%
9/19 bouts
FINISH RATE
67%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 0-3-2
L-L-L
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 33% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
53%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.76
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.72
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
46%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.79
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
22%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
27%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 58%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.40
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 90 rated fighters on the UFC middleweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#87
against the 90 rated on the UFC middleweight roster · Elo 1465
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
47th
percentile · average opponent rated 1536 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
31st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.07 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 71% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 25, 2017

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (9)
n = 9
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 3
DEC · 3
3
KO/TKO
33%
3
SUB
33%
3
DEC
33%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 6
6
KO/TKO
100%
0
SUB
0%
0
DEC
0%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
67% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
33%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
33%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
33%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
19 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER48TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN46STRIKING45CARDIO64AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE36RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power48
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=9 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (27%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin46
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=17 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio64
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=19 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)

Str Defense36
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (46%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins9 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (27%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin46 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record17 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share19 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.4 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense36 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (46%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2007LSEP 2007WJUL 2008WOCT 2008WNOV 2009LMAY 2010WOCT 2011WAPR 2012LAPR 2013WAUG 2013WJAN 2014WJUN 2014JUL 2014WJUL 2015DEC 2015LJAN 2016JUN 2016LAUG 2016JAN 2017LAUG 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 38, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 45, DEC R3.
  4. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  5. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  6. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R3.
  7. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  9. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 71, KO/TKO R2.
  10. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 78, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 88, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 99, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 99.
  14. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100.
  16. Start, JAN 2016, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.
  17. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 93.
  18. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 86.
  20. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Alcantara), bottomed at 38 (L vs Minowa). Current reading: 79.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
15/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
20%
4
27%
2
13%
-
-
9
total
SUB
3
20%
-
-
-
-
3
total
DEC
-
-
3
20%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 7 of 15 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
16%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Chris HoneycuttAug 25, 2017
KO/TKOR2 · 2:06
Bellator 182 - Koreshkov vs. Njokuani
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
D
VS Keith BerryJan 21, 2017
DrawR3 · 5:00
Bellator 170 - Sonnen vs. Ortiz
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
L
VS Sam AlveyAug 27, 2016
KO/TKOR2 · 4:56
UFC on Fox 21 - Maia vs. Condit
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
D
VS Elvis MutapcicJun 4, 2016
DrawR3 · 5:00
UFC 199 - Rockhold vs. Bisping 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Split)
L
VS Rafael NatalJan 30, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 3:37
UFC on Fox 18 - Johnson vs. Bader
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
D
VS Antonio Carlos Jr.Dec 10, 2015
No ContestR1 · 0:11
UFC Fight Night 80 - Namajunas vs. VanZant
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Eye Poke)
W
VS Ildemar AlcantaraJul 15, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 71 - Mir vs. Duffee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Bubba BushJul 5, 2014
No ContestR1 · 1:01
UFC 175 - Weidman vs. Machida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Overturned)
W
VS Andrew SanchezJun 6, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 2:30
RFA 15 - Casey vs. Sanchez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Eddie MendezJan 24, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 3:38
RFA 12 - Ortega vs. Koch
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
W
VS Casey RyanAug 16, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFA 9 - Munhoz vs. Curran
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Josh SammanApr 13, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 2:17
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 17 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Knees)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Middleweight. Professional record 9-6-2 (2 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28