// Roster Index›Women's Strawweight›Dossier · Lisa Ellis
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWOMEN'S STRAWWEIGHT

Lisa
Ellis

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-11-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Lisa Ellis
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'4"
AGE
43
WEIGHT
Women's Strawweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
26 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
58%
15/26 bouts
FINISH RATE
73%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with no dominant single weapon — 73% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.68
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 3.67
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
48%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 44%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.32
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 4.18
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
57%
Striking Defense
Reference value 54%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
4.19
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.00
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
63%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 36%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 62%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
0.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.30
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 59 rated fighters on the UFC women's strawweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#58
against the 59 rated on the UFC women's strawweight roster · Elo 1437
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
14th
percentile · average opponent rated 1499 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
3rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.39 per fight)

12 rated fights · opponents rated in 46% of recorded fights · last rated fight NOV 4, 2016 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
SUB · 11
DEC · 4
0
KO/TKO
0%
11
SUB
73%
4
DEC
27%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 8
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
9%
8
SUB
73%
2
DEC
18%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
73% FINISH
SUBANY ROUND · 11 fights
73%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
27%
Top win condition: sub · any round.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
26 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING69CHIN83STRIKING38CARDIO57AGGRESSION30SUB THREAT30STR DEFENSE60RECOVERY60
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling69
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin83
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=26 bouts
Striking38
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio57
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression30
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat30
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (57%)

Recovery60
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin83 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record26 bouts
Striking38 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio57 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression30 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat30 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (57%)Not recorded
Recovery60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100NOV 2004LNOV 2004WFEB 2005WNOV 2005LNOV 2005WFEB 2006WAUG 2006WSEP 2006WNOV 2006WFEB 2007WJUL 2007WJUL 2007LAUG 2007WNOV 2007WFEB 2008LAPR 2008WJUL 2008LJUN 2009WJUN 2010WAUG 2010LSEP 2010LNOV 2011LAPR 2012WJUL 2012LDEC 2014LMAY 2015LNOV 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, NOV 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, NOV 2004, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 45, DEC R3.
  4. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  5. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 48, SUB R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  7. Start, AUG 2006, momentum score 67, SUB R1.
  8. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  9. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 87, SUB R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 94, DEC R5.
  11. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  14. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 93, DEC R2.
  17. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  19. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  22. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  23. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 79, KO/TKO R3.
  24. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  25. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 82, SUB R2.
  26. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 75, SUB R1.
  27. Start, NOV 2016, momentum score 68, SUB R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Nagamine), bottomed at 38 (L vs Stewart). Current reading: 68.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
26/26 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
-
-
1
4%
-
-
1
total
SUB
14
54%
4
15%
1
4%
-
-
19
total
DEC
-
1
4%
4
15%
-
1
4%
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
No early-round finish pattern
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
23%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
26 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
SubmissionR1 · 2:21
F2N - Fight 2 Night
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Bec RawlingsMay 10, 2015
SubmissionR1 · 4:09
UFC Fight Night 65 - Miocic vs. Hunt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Felice HerrigDec 12, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 3:05
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 20 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Amy DavisJul 14, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:14
UCS - Caged Combat 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Jessica PenneApr 28, 2012
KO/TKOR3 · 2:48
Invicta FC 1 - Coenen vs. Ruyssen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Jessica AguilarNov 19, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 58
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Megumi FujiiSep 30, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:39
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Aisling DalyAug 26, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 26
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
SubmissionR1 · 2:01
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Miku MatsumotoJun 28, 2009
SubmissionR3 · 2:53
Deep - Toyama Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Patti LeeJul 18, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 2:44
BATB - Brawl at the Beach
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Reverse Ankle Lock)
L
VS Ana Michelle TavaresApr 25, 2008
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Smackgirl - World ReMix 2008 Second Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Women's Strawweight. Professional record 15-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28