// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Luis Sergio Melo Jr.
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Luis Sergio Melo
Jr.

NICKNAME"Sergio Junior"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
30-17-3
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Luis Sergio Melo Jr.
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
AGE
45
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
50 BOUTS
WIN
30
LOSS
17
DRAW
3
WIN RATE
60%
30/50 bouts
FINISH RATE
87%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 1-4
LWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 43% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.00
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.68
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#97
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1472
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
28th
percentile · average opponent rated 1530 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
5th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.24 per fight)

15 rated fights · opponents rated in 31% of recorded fights · last rated fight AUG 8, 2017 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (30)
n = 30
KO/TKO · 13
SUB · 13
DEC · 4
13
KO/TKO
43%
13
SUB
43%
4
DEC
13%
// LOSSES (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 2
DEC · 11
4
KO/TKO
24%
2
SUB
12%
11
DEC
65%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
87% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 13 fights
43%
SUBANY ROUND · 13 fights
43%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
13%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
50 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 12, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER62TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN78STRIKING60CARDIO60AGGRESSION40SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY56
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power62
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=30 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin78
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=50 bouts
Striking60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio60
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression40
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery56
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=17 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power62 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins30 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin78 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record50 bouts
Striking60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.17 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUN 2003WJUN 2003DEC 2003WJUL 2004WJUL 2004LJUL 2004WSEP 2004LAPR 2005LNOV 2005WSEP 2006WMAY 2007WJUL 2007WJUL 2007SEP 2007WNOV 2007WDEC 2007LAPR 2008WJUN 2008WNOV 2008WAPR 2009WAUG 2009LAUG 2009WMAR 2010WAPR 2010LMAY 2010LMAY 2010WJUN 2010WJUL 2010WAUG 2010WOCT 2010DEC 2010WFEB 2011LMAR 2011WMAY 2011LJUL 2011LSEP 2011WOCT 2011LNOV 2011WFEB 2012WMAR 2012WJUN 2012WJUN 2012WJUN 2012WMAR 2013LSEP 2013LDEC 2013LSEP 2014WNOV 2015LJUN 2016LAUG 2017LAUG 2022// SCORE

  1. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUN 2003, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, DEC 2003, momentum score 56.
  4. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUL 2004, momentum score 67, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  8. Start, APR 2005, momentum score 70, DEC R3.
  9. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 63, DEC R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 72, SUB R2.
  11. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 82, SUB R1.
  12. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, SEP 2007, momentum score 100.
  15. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  19. Start, NOV 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  21. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  23. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  24. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  25. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  26. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  27. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  28. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  30. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R4.
  31. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100.
  32. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  34. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  35. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R5.
  36. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  37. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  38. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  39. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  40. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  41. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  42. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  43. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  44. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  45. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  46. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  47. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  48. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  49. Start, JUN 2016, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  50. Start, AUG 2017, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R2.
  51. Start, AUG 2022, momentum score 69, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Cruz), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 69.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
47/50 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
10
21%
6
13%
1
2%
-
-
17
total
SUB
10
21%
4
9%
1
2%
-
-
15
total
DEC
-
-
13
28%
1
2%
1
2%
15
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 16 of 47 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
30%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
50 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Valentine WoodburnAug 20, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CN - Combat Night: Pro - Tallahassee
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
KO/TKOR2 · 3:10
League S-70 - Plotforma S-70 2017
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Abubakar VagaevJun 11, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
WFCA 23 - Grand Prix Akhmat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Vitor Regis EustaquioNov 28, 2015
KO/TKOR1 · 0:45
XFCI - XFC International 12
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick)
L
VS Marcio SantosSep 12, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
FTF 8 - Face To Face 8
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Vinicius BohrerDec 15, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
TGK - The Gladiator King
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ron KeslarSep 20, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 100
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Trey HoustonMar 28, 2013
SubmissionR3 · 1:09
Bellator MMA - Bellator 94
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Marcus Vinicius LopesJun 30, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
PC - Pentagon Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
KO/TKOR1 · 2:14
PC - Pentagon Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Roberto SantosJun 30, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 1:30
PC - Pentagon Combat
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS David CubasMar 24, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 0:32
DDT - Duelo de Titas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 30-17-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28