// Roster IndexFlyweightDossier · Matheus Nicolau
// FIGHTER_DOSSIER · ENTITY_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FLYWEIGHT

Matheus
Nicolau

// CALLSIGN"N/A"·BRAZIL
// PROFESSIONAL RECORD
19-5-1
// CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
// CURRENT CAMP
UNRESOLVED
// NEXT_ASSIGNMENT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Matheus Nicolau
// SUBJECT_-
BRA🇧🇷
// LIVE_FEED
REC_-
// CONFIDENCE! COLD
HEIGHT
5'6"
REACH
5'6"
AGE
33
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
// PRO_RECORD_
SAMPLE · 25 bouts
WIN
19
LOSS
5
DRAW
1
// WIN_RATE
76%
19/25 bouts
// FINISH_RATE
53%
STRONG
// L5 FORM3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
Stock 0 over the last 90 days.
// FIGHTER_INTEL_
CONFIDENCE: COLD
// STYLE_ARCHETYPE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 47% of wins are by dec.

// HOW_WIN

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

// VULNERABILITY

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM ABOVE
3.31
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM BELOW
2.98
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF ABOVE
65%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG BELOW
1.22
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC ABOVE
43%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF ABOVE
90%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG ABOVE
0.80
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (19)
n = 19
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 5
DEC · 9
5
KO/TKO
26%
5
SUB
26%
9
DEC
47%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 1
4
KO/TKO
80%
0
SUB
0%
1
DEC
20%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
53% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 5 fights
26%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
26%
DECFULL FIGHT · 9 fights
47%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
0 OBSERVED0 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
NOT RECORDED
// PROFILE UPDATED
NOT RECORDED
// RECORDED SOURCE
NOT RECORDED
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER38TD DEFENSE100GRAPPLING60CHIN80STRIKING53CARDIO75AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT44STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY50
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
UNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Aggression.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power38
NOT ON FILE

TD Defense100
NOT ON FILE

Grappling60
NOT ON FILE

Chin80
NOT ON FILE

Striking53
NOT ON FILE

Cardio75
NOT ON FILE

Aggression25
NOT ON FILE

Sub Threat44
NOT ON FILE

Str Defense51
NOT ON FILE

Recovery50
NOT ON FILE

Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power38 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
TD Defense100 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Grappling60 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Chin80 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Striking53 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Sub Threat44 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
Recovery50 out of 100NOT ON FILENot recorded
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100AUG 2010WAUG 2010WAPR 2011SEP 2011WOCT 2011WMAR 2012WJUN 2012WSEP 2012WDEC 2012LDEC 2012WDEC 2013WJUN 2014WAUG 2014WNOV 2015WJUL 2016WDEC 2017LJUL 2018WMAY 2019WAUG 2019WMAR 2021WOCT 2021WMAR 2022WDEC 2022LAPR 2023LAPR 2024LOCT 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R2.
  4. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 64.
  5. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  6. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2012, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  8. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  9. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  10. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, DEC 2013, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  15. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  16. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, JUL 2018, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAY 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  20. Start, MAR 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2021, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  22. Start, MAR 2022, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  23. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, APR 2023, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  25. Start, APR 2024, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R2.
  26. Start, OCT 2024, momentum score 76, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Vargas), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
17%
4
17%
1
4%
-
-
9
total
SUB
3
13%
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
1
4%
9
38%
-
-
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
40%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Asu AlmabayevOct 19, 2024
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 245 - Hernandez vs. Pereira
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Alex PerezApr 27, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 2:16
UFC on ESPN 55 - Nicolau vs. Perez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Brandon RoyvalApr 15, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 2:09
UFC on ESPN 44 - Holloway vs. Allen
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Knee and Elbows)
W
VS Matt SchnellDec 3, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 1:44
UFC on ESPN 42 - Thompson vs. Holland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS David DvorakMar 26, 2022
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 33 - Blaydes vs. Daukaus
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Tim ElliottOct 9, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 194 - Dern vs. Rodriguez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Manel KapeMar 13, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 187 - Edwards vs. Muhammad
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Felipe EfrainAug 30, 2019
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Brave CF 25 - Santiago vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Alan GabrielMay 24, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 1:18
Future FC 5 - Alves vs. Ramos
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Japanese Necktie)
L
VS Dustin OrtizJul 28, 2018
KO/TKOR1 · 3:49
UFC on Fox 30 - Alvarez vs. Poirier 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Head Kick and Punches)
W
VS Louis SmolkaDec 30, 2017
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 219 - Cyborg vs. Holm
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS John MoragaJul 8, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 23 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Direct lifts derived from this dossier. Designed to be quotable in writeups, search-engine snippets, or model context windows.

Flyweight. Professional record 19-5-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-07-28