// Roster Index›Flyweight›Dossier · Matt Schnell
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNSTOCK 0FLYWEIGHT

Matt
Schnell

NICKNAME"Danger"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
18-12-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Matt Schnell
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! LIVE
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
36
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Flyweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
31 BOUTS
WIN
18
LOSS
12
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
60%
18/31 bouts
FINISH RATE
71%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-4
LLWLL
Form trend 0 over the last 90 days.
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: LIVE
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 56% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
4.07
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 46%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.11
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.73
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.60
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
45%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
43%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.21
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 59 other rated fighters on the UFC flyweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#44
of 60 on the UFC flyweight roster · Elo 1506
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
66th
percentile · average opponent rated 1546 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
12th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.22 per fight)

24 rated fights · opponents rated in 80% of recorded fights · last rated fight JUN 6, 2026

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (18)
n = 18
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 10
DEC · 5
2
KO/TKO
11%
10
SUB
56%
5
DEC
28%
// LOSSES (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 6
SUB · 5
DEC · 1
6
KO/TKO
50%
5
SUB
42%
1
DEC
8%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
71% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
11%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
56%
DECFULL FIGHT · 5 fights
28%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
31 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
OCT 25, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN64STRIKING45CARDIO58AGGRESSION31SUB THREAT61STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY55
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=18 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (43%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin64
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=30 bouts
Striking45
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio58
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression31
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat61
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.21 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery55
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=12 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins18 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (43%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record30 bouts
Striking45 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio58 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression31 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat61 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.21 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery55 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.12 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2012WSEP 2012WNOV 2012LMAY 2013WJAN 2014LJUN 2014WSEP 2014WNOV 2014WFEB 2015WMAY 2015WJUN 2015WDEC 2015WMAR 2016WJUL 2016LJUL 2016LDEC 2016LAPR 2017WOCT 2017WJUN 2018WMAR 2019WAUG 2019LDEC 2019WJAN 2021MAY 2021LMAY 2022WJUL 2022LDEC 2022LMAR 2024LSEP 2024WAPR 2025LNOV 2025LJUN 2026// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2012, momentum score 52, DEC R3.
  3. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 62, SUB R1.
  4. Start, MAY 2013, momentum score 55, DEC R3.
  5. Start, JAN 2014, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  7. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 68, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2015, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAY 2015, momentum score 97, SUB R2.
  11. Start, JUN 2015, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, DEC 2015, momentum score 100.
  13. Start, MAR 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, JUL 2016, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  16. Start, DEC 2016, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  17. Start, APR 2017, momentum score 73, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, OCT 2017, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JUN 2018, momentum score 87, DEC R3.
  20. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 97, SUB R1.
  21. Start, AUG 2019, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  22. Start, DEC 2019, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  23. Start, JAN 2021, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  24. Start, MAY 2021, momentum score 97.
  25. Start, MAY 2022, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  26. Start, JUL 2022, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  27. Start, DEC 2022, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  28. Start, MAR 2024, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  29. Start, SEP 2024, momentum score 79, SUB R2.
  30. Start, APR 2025, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  31. Start, NOV 2025, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  32. Start, JUN 2026, momentum score 69, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Leite), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 69.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
29/31 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
21%
2
7%
-
-
-
8
total
SUB
10
34%
5
17%
-
-
-
15
total
DEC
-
-
6
21%
-
-
6
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 29 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
19%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
31 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Alessandro CostaJun 6, 2026
KO/TKOR1 · 2:32
UFC Fight Night 278 - Muhammad vs. Bonfim
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Joseph MoralesNov 8, 2025
SubmissionR1 · 2:54
UFC Fight Night 264 - Bonfim vs. Brown
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Jimmy FlickApr 26, 2025
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 66 - Garry vs. Prates
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Cody DurdenSep 7, 2024
SubmissionR2 · 0:29
UFC Fight Night 242 - Burns vs. Brady
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Ninja Choke)
L
VS Steve ErcegMar 2, 2024
KO/TKOR2 · 0:26
UFC Fight Night 238 - Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Matheus NicolauDec 3, 2022
KO/TKOR2 · 1:44
UFC on ESPN 42 - Thompson vs. Holland
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Su MudaerjiJul 16, 2022
SubmissionR2 · 4:24
UFC on ABC 3 - Ortega vs. Rodriguez
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Brandon RoyvalMay 7, 2022
SubmissionR1 · 2:14
UFC 274 - Oliveira vs. Gaethje
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
D
VS Rogerio BontorinMay 15, 2021
No ContestR3 · 5:00
UFC 262 - Oliveira vs. Chandler
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest (Overturned)
W
VS Tyson NamJan 20, 2021
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC on ESPN 20 - Chiesa vs. Magny
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Alexandre PantojaDec 21, 2019
KO/TKOR1 · 4:17
UFC Fight Night 165 - Edgar vs. Korean Zombie
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Jordan EspinosaAug 3, 2019
SubmissionR1 · 1:23
UFC on ESPN 5 - Covington vs. Lawler
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Flyweight. Professional record 18-12 (1 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-27