// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Nate Jolly
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Nate
Jolly

NICKNAME"Ladies Love"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
13-7-0
CURRENT FORM
1W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Nate Jolly
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
REACH
6'3"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
13
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
65%
13/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
38%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1W STREAK · 2-3
LWLLW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 62% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.32
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
46%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.39
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
44%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.83
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#110
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1462
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
13th
percentile · average opponent rated 1514 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
23rd
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.14 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 58% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 24, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (13)
n = 13
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 3
DEC · 8
2
KO/TKO
15%
3
SUB
23%
8
DEC
62%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 2
DEC · 3
2
KO/TKO
29%
2
SUB
29%
3
DEC
43%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
38% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
15%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
23%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
62%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
20 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 15, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER22TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING60CHIN76STRIKING35CARDIO75AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE31RECOVERY71
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power22
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=13 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin76
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking35
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio75
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense31
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (44%)

Recovery71
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power22 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins13 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking35 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense31 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (44%)Not recorded
Recovery71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2008WJUL 2008WFEB 2009WJUN 2009LJUN 2009WSEP 2009WSEP 2009WDEC 2009WMAY 2010WJUN 2010LJUL 2010WJAN 2011LAPR 2011LOCT 2011WJAN 2012WAPR 2012LMAY 2012WOCT 2013LMAY 2014LOCT 2014WAUG 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2008, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 64, KO/TKO R3.
  4. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 67, SUB R2.
  6. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 74, DEC R3.
  7. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 81, DEC R3.
  8. Start, DEC 2009, momentum score 91, SUB R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  10. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, APR 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R1.
  15. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  16. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 94, DEC R3.
  19. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 87, SUB R1.
  20. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  21. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 87, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Foster), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 87.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/20 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
15%
-
1
5%
-
-
4
total
SUB
4
20%
1
5%
-
-
-
5
total
DEC
-
-
11
55%
-
-
11
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
55%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
20 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Craig JohnsonAug 13, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Valor Fights 36 - Wheeler vs. Meerschaert
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Aaron DerrowOct 24, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 130
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Marcin HeldMay 17, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:20
Bellator MMA - Bellator 120
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Gerric HayesOct 18, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
XFC 26 - Night of Champions 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Harry JohnsonMay 12, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 0:47
CBFC - Cage Brawl Fighting Championships 9
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Jeremy MyersApr 6, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Spartan FC 13 - The Arrival
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Adam David MaysJan 7, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
VFL 34 - The Beginning
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Jamie VarnerOct 21, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 1:09
XFC 14 - Resurrection
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
L
VS Zach JuusolaApr 15, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Seconds Out / Vivid MMA - Combat on Capitol Hill 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ronnie RogersJan 21, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Boy Dog Promotions - Friday Night Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Cody StevensJul 31, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFO - Big Guns 6
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ryan BixlerJun 19, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BUCB - Bobish's Ultimate Cage Battles
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 13-7. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28