// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Aaron Derrow
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Aaron
Derrow

NICKNAME"Daddy Long Legs"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-11-0
CURRENT FORM
3L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Aaron Derrow
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'1"
AGE
39
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
11
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
56%
14/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
86%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3L STREAK · 2-3
WWLLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 71% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.20
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
51%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.72
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
61%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#94
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1478
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
12th
percentile · average opponent rated 1511 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.42 per fight)

26 rated fights · opponents rated in 100% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 23, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 10
DEC · 2
2
KO/TKO
14%
10
SUB
71%
2
DEC
14%
// LOSSES (11)
n = 11
KO/TKO · 4
DEC · 7
4
KO/TKO
36%
0
SUB
0%
7
DEC
64%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
86% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
14%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
71%
DECFULL FIGHT · 2 fights
14%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
25 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 20, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE47GRAPPLING60CHIN69STRIKING52CARDIO63AGGRESSION27SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY40
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: KO Power.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense47
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (61%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin69
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio63
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression27
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery40
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=11 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense47 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (61%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression27 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery40 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.11 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2009WMAY 2009LJUN 2009WJUN 2009WAUG 2009WAUG 2009WAUG 2009LOCT 2009WMAY 2010WJUN 2010WJUL 2010WDEC 2010WJAN 2011LMAR 2011WFEB 2012WMAR 2012LJUL 2012LJAN 2013LMAR 2013LJUN 2013LOCT 2013WJUN 2014WOCT 2014LJAN 2017LFEB 2018LSEP 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 49, DEC R3.
  4. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  5. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 68, SUB R1.
  6. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 78, SUB R1.
  7. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 88, SUB R2.
  8. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 78, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 88, SUB R1.
  10. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 95, DEC R3.
  11. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  14. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  15. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, JAN 2013, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  20. Start, JUN 2013, momentum score 72, DEC R3.
  21. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 62, KO/TKO R1.
  22. Start, JUN 2014, momentum score 72, SUB R3.
  23. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  24. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 72, KO/TKO R3.
  25. Start, FEB 2018, momentum score 65, DEC R3.
  26. Start, SEP 2023, momentum score 58, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Wilk), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 58.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
4
16%
1
4%
1
4%
-
-
6
total
SUB
5
20%
3
12%
2
8%
-
-
10
total
DEC
-
-
9
36%
-
-
9
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 5 of 25 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
36%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Muhammad ZwolakSep 23, 2023
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Knuckled Up Promotions - Fight Show 13
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Josh WestonFeb 3, 2018
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Shamrock FC - Shamrock 302
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS David RickelsJan 27, 2017
KO/TKOR3 · 0:44
Bellator 171 - Guillard vs. Njokuani
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Nate JollyOct 24, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Bellator MMA - Bellator 130
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Ramon BarberJun 7, 2014
SubmissionR3 · 3:12
BFC 23 - Blackout Fighting Championship 23
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Dave BurrowOct 5, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 2:08
Cageside Promotions - Kansas City Fighting Alliance 8: Fight for the Cure
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Titan FC 25 - Titan Fighting Championship 25
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
L
VS Drew DoberMar 1, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
CF - Centurion Fights
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Mark DickmanJan 18, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 4:35
RFA 6 - Krause vs. Imada 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Zach FreemanJul 27, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Rumble Time Promotions - Clash of the Warriors
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jordan JohnsonMar 30, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 2:12
RFA 2 - Yvel vs. Alexander
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS Andrew KeehnFeb 10, 2012
SubmissionR1 · 0:28
Cageside Promotions - Kansas City Fighting Alliance 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 14-11. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28