// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Paul Kelly
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Paul
Kelly

NICKNAME"Tellys"·ENGLAND
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-5-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Paul Kelly
FIGHTER -
ENG🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'9"
REACH
5'10"
AGE
42
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
20 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
5
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
75%
15/20 bouts
FINISH RATE
80%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 3-2
LLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
GRAPPLER

Grappler fighter with no dominant single weapon — 53% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.22
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
37%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.61
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.34
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
60%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
30%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#77
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1520
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
31st
percentile · average opponent rated 1531 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
36th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.02 per fight)

11 rated fights · opponents rated in 65% of recorded fights · last rated fight APR 7, 2012

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 8
SUB · 4
DEC · 3
8
KO/TKO
53%
4
SUB
27%
3
DEC
20%
// LOSSES (5)
n = 5
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
20%
2
SUB
40%
2
DEC
40%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
80% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 8 fights
53%
SUBANY ROUND · 4 fights
27%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
20%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
20 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 16, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER76TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING65CHIN82STRIKING32CARDIO72AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT75STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power76
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (30%)

Grappling65
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=20 bouts
Striking32
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio72
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat75
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=5 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power76 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (30%)Not recorded
Grappling65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record20 bouts
Striking32 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat75 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.5 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JUL 2005WJUL 2005WOCT 2005WNOV 2005WJUL 2006WJUL 2007WJUL 2007WAUG 2007WJAN 2008LOCT 2008WFEB 2009WJUN 2009LNOV 2009WAPR 2010LAUG 2010WNOV 2010LFEB 2011LAPR 2012WDEC 2012WMAR 2013WMAR 2020// SCORE

  1. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JUL 2005, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, NOV 2005, momentum score 77, KO/TKO R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 87, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 97, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUL 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  8. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, JAN 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  10. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  11. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, NOV 2009, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R2.
  14. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  18. Start, APR 2012, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  19. Start, DEC 2012, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  20. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, MAR 2020, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Berik), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
20/20 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
5
25%
4
20%
-
-
-
9
total
SUB
2
10%
4
20%
-
-
-
6
total
DEC
-
-
5
25%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 20 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
25%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
20 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Simone BottinoMar 7, 2020
KO/TKOR2 · 0:00
Probellum MMA - Probellum 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Submission to Strikes)
W
VS Henrique SantanaMar 2, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 3:47
UWC 22 - Ultimate Warrior Challenge
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Richard GriffinDec 1, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 2:52
UCMMA 31 - Ultimate Challenge MMA 31
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Ryan HealyApr 7, 2012
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SFL 2 - Super Fight League 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Donald CerroneFeb 5, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 3:48
UFC 126 - Silva vs. Belfort
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS T.J. O'BrienNov 20, 2010
KO/TKOR2 · 3:16
UFC 123 - Rampage vs. Machida
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Elbows)
L
VS Jacob VolkmannAug 1, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Live 2 - Jones vs. Matyushenko
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Matt VeachApr 10, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 3:41
UFC 112 - Invincible
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Dennis SiverNov 14, 2009
KO/TKOR2 · 2:53
UFC 105 - Couture vs. Vera
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Spinning Back Kick and Punches)
W
VS Roli DelgadoJun 13, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 99 - The Comeback
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Troy MandalonizFeb 21, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 95 - Sanchez vs. Stevenson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Marcus DavisOct 18, 2008
SubmissionR2 · 2:16
UFC 89 - Bisping vs. Leben
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-5. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28