// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Rafaello Oliveira
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Rafaello
Oliveira

NICKNAME"Tractor"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
17-8-0
CURRENT FORM
2L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Rafaello Oliveira
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
REACH
5'11"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
17
LOSS
8
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
68%
17/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
53%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2L STREAK · 1-4
LLWLL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
GRAPPLER

Grappler fighter with grappling at the core — 47% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Pressure boxers willing to wade into the pocket have found chins on offer; cardio drops in late rounds.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.19
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
3.38
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
59%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.49
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
36%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
11%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.60
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#94
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1494
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
41st
percentile · average opponent rated 1538 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
34th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.07 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 52% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 22, 2014

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (17)
n = 17
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 5
DEC · 8
4
KO/TKO
24%
5
SUB
29%
8
DEC
47%
// LOSSES (8)
n = 8
KO/TKO · 4
SUB · 2
DEC · 2
4
KO/TKO
50%
2
SUB
25%
2
DEC
25%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
53% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 4 fights
24%
SUBANY ROUND · 5 fights
29%
DECFULL FIGHT · 8 fights
47%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
25 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER34TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING72CHIN69STRIKING20CARDIO65AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT80STR DEFENSE64RECOVERY71
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Sub Threat. Lowest scored axis: Striking.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power34
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=17 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (11%)

Grappling72
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin69
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=25 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio65
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=23 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat80
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)

Str Defense64
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (59%)

Recovery71
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=8 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power34 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins17 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (11%)Not recorded
Grappling72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin69 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record25 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio65 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share23 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat80 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.6 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense64 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (59%)Not recorded
Recovery71 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.8 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2004WDEC 2004WJUN 2005LJUN 2005WSEP 2005WFEB 2006WJUN 2006WJUN 2007WNOV 2007WFEB 2008LOCT 2008WFEB 2009WMAR 2009WAPR 2009LSEP 2009WJAN 2010LMAR 2010WSEP 2010WNOV 2010WDEC 2010WMAR 2011LMAY 2011LOCT 2011WJUL 2012LJUL 2013LFEB 2014// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2004, momentum score 54, KO/TKO R2.
  3. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 61, DEC R1.
  4. Start, JUN 2005, momentum score 54, SUB R1.
  5. Start, SEP 2005, momentum score 61, DEC R2.
  6. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 71, SUB R1.
  7. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R1.
  8. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 91, KO/TKO R2.
  9. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 100, DEC R1.
  11. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  18. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  19. Start, NOV 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  22. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  23. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  24. Start, JUL 2012, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  25. Start, JUL 2013, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R2.
  26. Start, FEB 2014, momentum score 76, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Florencio), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 76.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
25/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
3
12%
5
20%
-
-
-
8
total
SUB
5
20%
2
8%
-
-
-
7
total
DEC
2
8%
1
4%
7
28%
-
-
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 8 of 25 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
40%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Erik KochFeb 22, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 1:24
UFC 170 - Rousey vs. McMann
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Edson BarbozaJul 6, 2013
KO/TKOR2 · 1:44
UFC 162 - Silva vs. Weidman
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Leg Kicks)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 148 - Silva vs. Sonnen 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Yves EdwardsOct 1, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 2:44
UFC Live 6 - Cruz vs. Johnson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Gleison TibauMay 28, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 3:28
UFC 130 - Rampage vs. Hamill
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Ryan BixlerMar 31, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 0:21
RFC - Recife Fighting Championship 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Bendy CasimirDec 2, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
RFC - Recife Fighting Championship 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kevin RoddyNov 24, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 4:46
DFL 1 - The Big Bang
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Rafael DiasSep 24, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
SFC - Scorpius Fighting Championships 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Andre WinnerMar 31, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 21 - Florian vs. Gomi
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 108 - Evans vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Nik LentzSep 19, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 103 - Franklin vs. Belfort
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 17-8. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28