// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Ryan McGillivray
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Ryan
McGillivray

NICKNAME"The Kid"·CANADA
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
12-6-1
CURRENT FORM
1L STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Ryan McGillivray
FIGHTER -
CAN🇨🇦
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
AGE
40
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
19 BOUTS
WIN
12
LOSS
6
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
63%
12/19 bouts
FINISH RATE
92%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS1L STREAK · 3-2
WWLWL
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 83% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.27
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
20%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.20
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
52%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
44%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#100
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1441
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
12th
percentile · average opponent rated 1510 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
1st
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.44 per fight)

4 rated fights · opponents rated in 21% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 4, 2012 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (12)
n = 12
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 10
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
8%
10
SUB
83%
1
DEC
8%
// LOSSES (6)
n = 6
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 4
1
KO/TKO
17%
1
SUB
17%
4
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
92% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
8%
SUBANY ROUND · 10 fights
83%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
8%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
19 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 18, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN82STRIKING20CARDIO81AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE49RECOVERY80
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=12 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (44%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin82
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=19 bouts
Striking20
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio81
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (52%)

Recovery80
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=6 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins12 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (44%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin82 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record19 bouts
Striking20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (52%)Not recorded
Recovery80 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.6 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100SEP 2006WSEP 2006WNOV 2006WFEB 2007WAPR 2007WJUN 2007LAUG 2007LNOV 2007WFEB 2008LMAY 2008WDEC 2008WJAN 2009LJUL 2009WSEP 2009APR 2010WJUL 2010WSEP 2010LJUN 2011WJAN 2012LMAY 2012// SCORE

  1. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 65, SUB R3.
  4. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 74, SUB R1.
  5. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 84, SUB R1.
  6. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 91, DEC R3.
  7. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  8. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 77, SUB R2.
  9. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 87, SUB R1.
  10. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 80, DEC R3.
  11. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 90, SUB R3.
  12. Start, JAN 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, JUL 2009, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  15. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100.
  16. Start, JUL 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  18. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  19. Start, JAN 2012, momentum score 100, SUB R3.
  20. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Dubeck), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/19 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
6%
-
1
6%
-
-
2
total
SUB
6
33%
2
11%
3
17%
-
-
11
total
DEC
-
-
5
28%
-
-
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
26%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
19 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

L
VS Nathan CoyMay 4, 2012
KO/TKOR3 · 5:00
MFC 33 - Collision Course
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
W
VS Diego BautistaJan 27, 2012
SubmissionR3 · 2:25
MFC 32 - Bitter Rivals
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
L
VS Shamar BaileyJun 4, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC - The Ultimate Fighter 13 Finale
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Markhaile WedderburnSep 10, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 2:42
TFC 11 - Full Force
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Andrew BucklandJul 9, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 2:04
AMMA 4 - Victory
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
D
VS Andrew BucklandApr 23, 2010
DrawR3 · 5:00
LGIO MMA 1 - MacDonald vs. Horwich
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
W
VS Adam ThomasSep 18, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 4:27
TFC 8 - Salvation
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Chad ShermanJul 17, 2009
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Heat XC 3 - Ruthless
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Steve DubeckJan 30, 2009
KO/TKOR1 · 3:27
Heat XC 1 - Heat XC
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Elliot DuffDec 5, 2008
SubmissionR3 · 1:33
MFC 19 - Long Time Coming
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Heel Hook)
L
VS Gavin NeilMay 9, 2008
DecisionR3 · 5:00
MFC 16 - Anger Management
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
W
VS Jason ZorthianFeb 22, 2008
SubmissionR1 · 4:10
MFC 15 - Rags to Riches
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 12-6-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28