// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Waylon Lowe
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Waylon
Lowe

NICKNAME"N/A"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
16-7-0
CURRENT FORM
— STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Waylon Lowe
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'7"
AGE
45
STANCE
SOUTHPAW
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
25 BOUTS
WIN
16
LOSS
7
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
70%
16/25 bouts
FINISH RATE
63%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS— STREAK · 2-2
LWLW-
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter built around defensive grappling — 44% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Top-position grapplers who can chain transitions force submissions when scrambles open up.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.88
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.40
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
53%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
4.47
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▲ ABOVE
55%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
83%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.30
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#78
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1518
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
45th
percentile · average opponent rated 1541 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
37th
percentile · fell short of what opponents' ratings predicted (-0.01 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 57% of recorded fights · last rated fight OCT 3, 2015

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (16)
n = 16
KO/TKO · 7
SUB · 3
DEC · 6
7
KO/TKO
44%
3
SUB
19%
6
DEC
38%
// LOSSES (7)
n = 7
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 4
DEC · 1
3
KO/TKO
43%
4
SUB
57%
1
DEC
14%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
63% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 7 fights
44%
SUBANY ROUND · 3 fights
19%
DECFULL FIGHT · 6 fights
38%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
25 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 22, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER63TD DEFENSE96GRAPPLING60CHIN72STRIKING48CARDIO75AGGRESSION36SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE51RECOVERY86
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: TD Defense. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power63
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=16 wins
TD Defense96
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (83%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin72
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=23 bouts
Striking48
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio75
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression36
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)

Str Defense51
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (53%)

Recovery86
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=7 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power63 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins16 wins
TD Defense96 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (83%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin72 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record23 bouts
Striking48 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.3 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense51 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (53%)Not recorded
Recovery86 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.7 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100MAY 2006LMAY 2006WSEP 2006WFEB 2007LMAY 2007WFEB 2008WMAR 2008WOCT 2008WMAY 2009WJAN 2010WAPR 2010LMAY 2010WSEP 2010WJAN 2011LMAR 2011WNOV 2011WDEC 2011WMAY 2012WMAR 2013LSEP 2013APR 2014LSEP 2014WMAR 2015LJUL 2015WOCT 2015APR 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, MAY 2006, momentum score 38, SUB R1.
  3. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 48, SUB R2.
  4. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 58, SUB R2.
  5. Start, MAY 2007, momentum score 48, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 58, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 68, SUB R1.
  8. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 75, DEC R3.
  9. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 82, DEC R3.
  10. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 93, KO/TKO R1.
  11. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, SEP 2010, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  14. Start, JAN 2011, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  15. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R3.
  16. Start, NOV 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  17. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, MAY 2012, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  19. Start, MAR 2013, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  20. Start, SEP 2013, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  21. Start, APR 2014, momentum score 93.
  22. Start, SEP 2014, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R4.
  23. Start, MAR 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  24. Start, JUL 2015, momentum score 86, SUB R2.
  25. Start, OCT 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 93, DEC R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Berger), bottomed at 38 (L vs Love). Current reading: 93.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
24/25 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
7
29%
2
8%
-
1
4%
-
10
total
SUB
3
13%
3
13%
1
4%
-
-
7
total
DEC
1
4%
-
6
25%
-
-
7
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 9 of 24 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
28%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
25 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

D
VS Ashleigh GrimshawApr 30, 2016
DecisionR1 · 1:23
AOW 17 - Art of War 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
NC (Overturned by Promoter)
W
VS Vaso BakocevicOct 3, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ADW - Abu Dhabi Warriors 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ryan QuinnJul 17, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 2:47
Bellator 140 - Lima vs. Koreshkov
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Mateusz TeodorczukMar 26, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
ADW - Abu Dhabi Warriors 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
D
VS Marcos Rodrigues dos SantosApr 26, 2014
No ContestR3 · 5:00
XFCI - XFC International 4
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
No Contest
L
VS Georgi KarakhanyanSep 14, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 3:37
WSOF 5 - Arlovski vs. Kyle
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
W
VS Cameron DollarMar 23, 2013
KO/TKOR1 · 2:58
WSOF 2 - Arlovski vs. Johnson
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Mike DiggsMay 12, 2012
KO/TKOR2 · 3:13
Pure MMA 2 - Next Episode
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Tim WadsworthDec 2, 2011
KO/TKOR1 · 2:51
Instinct MMA - Instinct Fighting 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
W
VS Floyd HodgesNov 5, 2011
KO/TKOR2 · 5:00
ProElite 2 - Big Guns
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Doctor Stoppage)
L
VS Nik LentzMar 26, 2011
SubmissionR3 · 2:24
UFC Fight Night 24 - Nogueira vs. Davis
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 16-7 (2 NC). Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Waylon Lowe

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Waylon LoweUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28