// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Yan Cabral
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Yan
Cabral

NICKNAME"N/A"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
15-3-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Yan Cabral
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'11"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
43
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
18 BOUTS
WIN
15
LOSS
3
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
83%
15/18 bouts
FINISH RATE
93%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 3-2
LLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
SUBMISSION HUNTER

Submission hunter fighter with no dominant single weapon — 87% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.02
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
47%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
1.98
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▲ ABOVE
2.89
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
35%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
37%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.20
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#78
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1519
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
2nd
percentile · average opponent rated 1492 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
91st
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.36 per fight)

7 rated fights · opponents rated in 39% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAY 25, 2024 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (15)
n = 15
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 13
DEC · 1
1
KO/TKO
7%
13
SUB
87%
1
DEC
7%
// LOSSES (3)
n = 3
KO/TKO · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
33%
0
SUB
0%
2
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
93% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 1 fights
7%
SUBANY ROUND · 13 fights
87%
DECFULL FIGHT · 1 fights
7%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 22, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING68CHIN81STRIKING36CARDIO75AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT60STR DEFENSE71RECOVERY67
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=15 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (37%)

Grappling68
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=18 bouts
Striking36
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio75
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat60
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)

Str Defense71
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (62%)

Recovery67
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=3 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins15 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (37%)Not recorded
Grappling68 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record18 bouts
Striking36 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio75 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat60 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.2 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense71 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Recovery67 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.3 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100DEC 2007WDEC 2007WAPR 2008WAUG 2008WMAR 2009WMAY 2009WMAY 2009WSEP 2009WJAN 2010WAPR 2010WSEP 2011WOCT 2013LMAY 2014WOCT 2014LNOV 2015LMAY 2016WJAN 2017WDEC 2017WMAY 2024// SCORE

  1. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, DEC 2007, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, APR 2008, momentum score 65, SUB R1.
  4. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 74, SUB R2.
  5. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 84, SUB R2.
  6. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 94, SUB R1.
  7. Start, MAY 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  8. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  12. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  13. Start, MAY 2014, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  14. Start, OCT 2014, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, NOV 2015, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  16. Start, MAY 2016, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R3.
  17. Start, JAN 2017, momentum score 96, SUB R1.
  18. Start, DEC 2017, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  19. Start, MAY 2024, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Awad), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
1
6%
-
1
6%
-
-
2
total
SUB
7
39%
6
33%
-
-
-
13
total
DEC
-
-
3
17%
-
-
3
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 1 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
17%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Mauricio OtaloraMay 25, 2024
KO/TKOR1 · 1:51
AFL 34 - Badalona
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Peng YangDec 23, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:07
IPFC / LKC - YunFeng Showdown 8: Kings Championship
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Armbar)
W
VS Zalimkhan YusupovJan 6, 2017
SubmissionR1 · 1:01
WKG MMA - World Kings Glory
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Reza MadadiMay 8, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 1:56
UFC Fight Night 87 - Overeem vs. Arlovski
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Johnny CaseNov 7, 2015
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 77 - Belfort vs. Henderson 3
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Naoyuki KotaniOct 25, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 3:06
UFC 179 - Aldo vs. Mendes 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Zak CummingsMay 10, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 40 - Brown vs. Silva
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC Fight Night 29 - Maia vs. Shields
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Kazushi SakurabaSep 24, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 2:42
Dream - Dream 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Djordje BericApr 10, 2010
SubmissionR1 · 1:30
SHC 2 - Battle For The Belt
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)
W
VS Arbi AgujevJan 24, 2010
SubmissionR2 · 1:40
VFN - Fabulous Las Vegas
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
W
VS Peter AngererSep 26, 2009
SubmissionR1 · 3:45
SHC 1 - Angels or Demons
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Kimura)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 15-3. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28