// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Yuya Shirai
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Yuya
Shirai

NICKNAME"N/A"·JAPAN
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
24-14-1
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Yuya Shirai
FIGHTER -
JAP🇯🇵
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'8"
AGE
46
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
39 BOUTS
WIN
24
LOSS
14
DRAW
1
WIN RATE
62%
24/39 bouts
FINISH RATE
33%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 3-1-1
-WLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 67% of wins are by dec.

KEY STRENGTHS

Banks rounds on the scorecard — pace and positioning over splash damage.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
1.02
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
100%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.07
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
55%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
0%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.00
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

THIN RATED HISTORY
// RATING
#100
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1435
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
29th
percentile · average opponent rated 1531 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
60th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.13 per fight)

14 rated fights · opponents rated in 36% of recorded fights · last rated fight FEB 27, 2016 · Few rated fights: read these as rough.

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (24)
n = 24
KO/TKO · 2
SUB · 6
DEC · 16
2
KO/TKO
8%
6
SUB
25%
16
DEC
67%
// LOSSES (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 5
SUB · 1
DEC · 8
5
KO/TKO
36%
1
SUB
7%
8
DEC
57%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
33% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 2 fights
8%
SUBANY ROUND · 6 fights
25%
DECFULL FIGHT · 16 fights
67%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
39 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 23, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER20TD DEFENSE20GRAPPLING60CHIN73STRIKING52CARDIO79AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT20STR DEFENSE56RECOVERY64
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Cardio. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power20
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=24 wins
TD Defense20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (0%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin73
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=39 bouts
Striking52
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio79
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat20
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0 per 15 min)

Str Defense56
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (55%)

Recovery64
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=14 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power20 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins24 wins
TD Defense20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (0%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin73 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record39 bouts
Striking52 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio79 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat20 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense56 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (55%)Not recorded
Recovery64 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.14 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100JAN 2004WJAN 2004WAPR 2004WSEP 2004LNOV 2004WFEB 2005LMAY 2005LOCT 2005WFEB 2006LAPR 2006WJUL 2006WOCT 2006LDEC 2006WJUN 2007WAUG 2007WFEB 2008LMAY 2008LAUG 2008WOCT 2008WDEC 2008WMAR 2009LAPR 2009WAUG 2009WOCT 2009WJAN 2010WAPR 2010WOCT 2010LFEB 2011LJUL 2011WOCT 2011WDEC 2011LMAR 2012LOCT 2012WFEB 2013LAPR 2013OCT 2013WJUL 2014LDEC 2014WSEP 2015WFEB 2016// SCORE

  1. Start, JAN 2004, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, JAN 2004, momentum score 52, DEC R2.
  3. Start, APR 2004, momentum score 59, DEC R2.
  4. Start, SEP 2004, momentum score 66, DEC R2.
  5. Start, NOV 2004, momentum score 59, DEC R3.
  6. Start, FEB 2005, momentum score 66, DEC R2.
  7. Start, MAY 2005, momentum score 59, DEC R2.
  8. Start, OCT 2005, momentum score 49, KO/TKO R1.
  9. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 56, DEC R2.
  10. Start, APR 2006, momentum score 49, DEC R2.
  11. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 59, SUB R1.
  12. Start, OCT 2006, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 60, KO/TKO R1.
  14. Start, JUN 2007, momentum score 67, DEC R3.
  15. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 77, SUB R1.
  16. Start, FEB 2008, momentum score 84, DEC R3.
  17. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 77, DEC R2.
  18. Start, AUG 2008, momentum score 70, DEC R2.
  19. Start, OCT 2008, momentum score 79, SUB R1.
  20. Start, DEC 2008, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  21. Start, MAR 2009, momentum score 96, SUB R3.
  22. Start, APR 2009, momentum score 89, SUB R1.
  23. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  24. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 100, DEC R2.
  25. Start, JAN 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  26. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  27. Start, OCT 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  28. Start, FEB 2011, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R1.
  29. Start, JUL 2011, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  30. Start, OCT 2011, momentum score 90, DEC R2.
  31. Start, DEC 2011, momentum score 97, DEC R3.
  32. Start, MAR 2012, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  33. Start, OCT 2012, momentum score 83, KO/TKO R3.
  34. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 90, DEC R2.
  35. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  36. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 83.
  37. Start, JUL 2014, momentum score 90, DEC R3.
  38. Start, DEC 2014, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  39. Start, SEP 2015, momentum score 90, SUB R2.
  40. Start, FEB 2016, momentum score 97, DEC R3.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Grimaud), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 97.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
38/39 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
6
16%
-
1
3%
-
-
7
total
SUB
5
13%
1
3%
1
3%
-
-
7
total
DEC
-
12
32%
12
32%
-
-
24
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 6 of 38 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
62%, fights often go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
39 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Ikuhisa MinowaFeb 27, 2016
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - 75 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Hiroshi TakahashiSep 23, 2015
SubmissionR2 · 1:36
Tribe Tokyo Fight - TTF Challenge 05
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Guillotine Choke)
L
VS Yuta WatanabeDec 21, 2014
KO/TKOR1 · 2:34
Deep - 70 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
W
VS Yuki OkanoJul 21, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - Cage Impact 2014
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Split)
D
VS Akihiro MurayamaOct 20, 2013
DrawR3 · 5:00
Deep - Tribe Tokyo Fight
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Draw (Majority)
L
VS Dan HornbuckleApr 26, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - 62 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Yuki OkanoFeb 16, 2013
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Deep - 61 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Tommy DepretOct 6, 2012
KO/TKOR3 · 0:00
Glory World Series - Glory 2: Brussels
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
DecisionR3 · 5:00
One FC 3 - War of the Lions
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Taisuke OkunoDec 16, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - 56 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Yoshitomo WatanabeOct 29, 2011
DecisionR2 · 5:00
Deep - Cage Impact 2011 in Tokyo, 2nd Round
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Delson HelenoJul 20, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Fight Club 1 - Brazilian Stars
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 24-14-1. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28