// Roster Index›Welterweight›Dossier · Dan Hornbuckle
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNWELTERWEIGHT

Dan
Hornbuckle

NICKNAME"The Handler"·UNITED STATES
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
26-9-0
CURRENT FORM
2W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Dan Hornbuckle
FIGHTER -
UNI🇺🇸
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
6'2"
AGE
45
WEIGHT
Welterweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
35 BOUTS
WIN
26
LOSS
9
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
74%
26/35 bouts
FINISH RATE
85%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS2W STREAK · 2-3
LLLWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 42% of wins are by ko/tko.

KEY STRENGTHS

Closes distance and trades — most wins come from heavy hands inside the first two rounds.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▲ ABOVE
3.80
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.65
// STR. ACC▲ ABOVE
52%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 47%
// SAPM▲ ABOVE
2.63
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.74
// STR. DEF▲ ABOVE
54%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.50
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
40%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▲ ABOVE
62%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▼ BELOW
0.50
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 99 rated fighters on the UFC welterweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#78
against the 99 rated on the UFC welterweight roster · Elo 1513
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
1st
percentile · average opponent rated 1462 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
80th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.27 per fight)

19 rated fights · opponents rated in 54% of recorded fights · last rated fight MAR 24, 2023

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (26)
n = 26
KO/TKO · 11
SUB · 11
DEC · 4
11
KO/TKO
42%
11
SUB
42%
4
DEC
15%
// LOSSES (9)
n = 9
SUB · 3
DEC · 6
0
KO/TKO
0%
3
SUB
33%
6
DEC
67%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
85% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 11 fights
42%
SUBANY ROUND · 11 fights
42%
DECFULL FIGHT · 4 fights
15%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
35 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
JUL 3, 2026
// RECORDED SOURCE
ufcstats
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER60TD DEFENSE49GRAPPLING60CHIN88STRIKING60CARDIO56AGGRESSION37SUB THREAT25STR DEFENSE53RECOVERY56
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Chin. Lowest scored axis: Sub Threat.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power60
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=26 wins
TD Defense49
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (62%)

Grappling60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin88
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=35 bouts
Striking60
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio56
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

Aggression37
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat25
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)

Str Defense53
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (54%)

Recovery56
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=9 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins26 wins
TD Defense49 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (62%)Not recorded
Grappling60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin88 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record35 bouts
Striking60 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win shareNot recorded
Aggression37 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat25 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (0.5 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense53 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (54%)Not recorded
Recovery56 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.9 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2006WFEB 2006WJUN 2006LJUL 2006WJUL 2006WSEP 2006WNOV 2006WDEC 2006WDEC 2006WFEB 2007WMAR 2007WMAR 2007WMAR 2007WAPR 2007WAUG 2007WNOV 2007WMAR 2008LMAY 2008WJUN 2008WFEB 2009WAUG 2009WSEP 2009WAPR 2010WMAY 2010LJUN 2010WAUG 2010LMAR 2011LSEP 2011WFEB 2013WAPR 2013LAUG 2013LOCT 2013LMAR 2014LAUG 2014WMAR 2019WMAR 2023// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2006, momentum score 56, KO/TKO R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2006, momentum score 66, KO/TKO R1.
  4. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 59, SUB R1.
  5. Start, JUL 2006, momentum score 70, KO/TKO R1.
  6. Start, SEP 2006, momentum score 80, KO/TKO R1.
  7. Start, NOV 2006, momentum score 90, SUB R1.
  8. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  9. Start, DEC 2006, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  10. Start, FEB 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  11. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  12. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  13. Start, MAR 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  14. Start, APR 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R2.
  15. Start, AUG 2007, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2007, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  17. Start, MAR 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  18. Start, MAY 2008, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  19. Start, JUN 2008, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  20. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  21. Start, AUG 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  22. Start, SEP 2009, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R2.
  23. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  24. Start, MAY 2010, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  25. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  26. Start, AUG 2010, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  27. Start, MAR 2011, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  28. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  29. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  30. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  31. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 93, DEC R3.
  32. Start, OCT 2013, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  33. Start, MAR 2014, momentum score 79, DEC R3.
  34. Start, AUG 2014, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  35. Start, MAR 2019, momentum score 81, KO/TKO R2.
  36. Start, MAR 2023, momentum score 92, KO/TKO R1.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Fowler), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 92.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
35/35 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
8
23%
2
6%
1
3%
-
-
11
total
SUB
12
34%
2
6%
-
-
-
14
total
DEC
-
-
10
29%
-
-
10
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 10 of 35 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
No R5 finishes either way
// DECISION RATE
29%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
35 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Daniel StittgenMar 24, 2023
KO/TKOR1 · 5:00
Caged Aggression 35 - The Trilogy: Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Retirement)
W
VS Jason LouckMar 23, 2019
KO/TKOR2 · 3:37
Caged Aggression 24 - Champions: Night 2
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punch)
L
VS Roger CarrollAug 9, 2014
SubmissionR1 · 4:37
Fight Time Promotions - Fight Time in the Valley
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Choke)
L
VS Dominique SteeleMar 1, 2014
DecisionR3 · 5:00
NAAFS - Driven MMA 1
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ryo ChonanOct 20, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - Tribe Tokyo Fight
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Dennis HallmanAug 30, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Titan FC 26 - Titan Fighting Championship 26
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Majority)
W
VS Yuya ShiraiApr 26, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Deep - 62 Impact
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Pete SprattFeb 1, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
LFC 17 - Legacy Fighting Championship 17
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Luis SantosSep 10, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 49
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Brent WeedmanMar 5, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 35
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Brad BlackburnAug 19, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 25
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
L
VS Ben AskrenJun 17, 2010
DecisionR3 · 5:00
BFC - Bellator Fighting Championships 22
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Welterweight. Professional record 26-9. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Dan Hornbuckle

Compare this fighter head to head, check the next UFC card, read current matchup analysis, or verify settled Blueprint MMA forecasts.

Compare Dan HornbuckleUpcoming UFC scheduleFight analysis archivePrediction track record
// FORECAST_AVAILABLE_
Want the next-fight forecast?
The pick is free.

Every published fight shows its winner and win probability free. The full debate, method and round open with Sharp or an Event Pass.

THIS WEEK'S PICKS ALL FIGHTERS
BLUEPRINT/MMA · DOSSIER ENGINE v3.2
// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28