// Roster Index›Lightweight›Dossier · Vagner Rocha
UFC FIGHTER PROFILE_
UFC · UNKNOWNLIGHTWEIGHT

Vagner
Rocha

NICKNAME"Ceara"·BRAZIL
PROFESSIONAL RECORD
14-4-0
CURRENT FORM
3W STREAK
NEXT FIGHT
NO BOUT ANNOUNCED
Vagner Rocha
FIGHTER -
BRA🇧🇷
PROFILE PHOTO
PROFILE
PROFILE DATA! COLD
HEIGHT
5'10"
REACH
6'1"
AGE
44
STANCE
ORTHODOX
WEIGHT
Lightweight
PROFESSIONAL RECORD_
18 BOUTS
WIN
14
LOSS
4
DRAW
0
WIN RATE
78%
14/18 bouts
FINISH RATE
79%
of professional wins
LAST 5 FIGHTS3W STREAK · 4-1
WLWWW
STYLE SUMMARY_
DATA: COLD
FIGHTING STYLE
WELL ROUNDED

Well rounded fighter with no dominant single weapon — 57% of wins are by sub.

KEY STRENGTHS

Drags it to the mat and hunts the finish — submission threat opens up off transitions.

KEY RISKS

Volume strikers have outpointed across full fights — output drops after R2.

// PERFORMANCE_METRICS · 02_

STRIKE / GRAPPLE
VITALS

Observed profile rates compared with stored weight-class medians where coverage exists. Any fallback uses a labeled UFC reference average; no fallback is presented as a division median.

// SLPM▼ BELOW
2.64
Strikes Landed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. ACC▼ BELOW
42%
Striking Accuracy
Reference value 45%
// SAPM▼ BELOW
4.50
Strikes Absorbed/Min
Reference value 2.70
// STR. DEF▼ BELOW
48%
Striking Defense
Reference value 53%
// TD AVG▼ BELOW
1.40
Takedowns/15 min
Reference value 1.50
// TD ACC▼ BELOW
33%
Takedown Accuracy
Reference value 40%
// TD DEF▼ BELOW
50%
Takedown Defense
Reference value 59%
// SUB AVG▲ ABOVE
1.90
Submissions/15 min
Reference value 0.50
// QUALITY_OF_COMPETITION · 02B_

WHO THEY
ACTUALLY FOUGHT

A record says how often a fighter won, not against whom. These ratings weigh every result by the opponent's strength at the time, then compare this fighter with the 111 rated fighters on the UFC lightweight roster (anyone with a UFC bout in the last two years or one booked).

// RATING
#48
against the 111 rated on the UFC lightweight roster · Elo 1559
// STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE
9th
percentile · average opponent rated 1509 at fight time (recent fights count most)
// RESULTS VS EXPECTATION
74th
percentile · beat what opponents' ratings predicted (+0.18 per fight)

13 rated fights · opponents rated in 72% of recorded fights · last rated fight SEP 9, 2017

// CAREER_BREAKDOWN · 03_

WIN CONDITION MAP

Where the wins come from, and where the losses came from. Method splits by knockout, submission, and decision.

// WINS (14)
n = 14
KO/TKO · 3
SUB · 8
DEC · 3
3
KO/TKO
21%
8
SUB
57%
3
DEC
21%
// LOSSES (4)
n = 4
KO/TKO · 1
SUB · 1
DEC · 2
1
KO/TKO
25%
1
SUB
25%
2
DEC
50%
// PATH_TO_VICTORY_
79% FINISH
KO/TKOEARLY ROUNDS · 3 fights
21%
SUBANY ROUND · 8 fights
57%
DECFULL FIGHT · 3 fights
21%
Top win condition: ko/tko · early rounds.
// DNA_PROFILE · 04_

ATTRIBUTE FINGERPRINT

Evidence-backed 0-100 scores built only from observed profile stats and disclosed bout-history proxies. This is a fixed Blueprint scoring model, not a division percentile; missing axes remain unknown.

// DNA_PROFILE_
3 OBSERVED7 DERIVED0 UNKNOWN
// BENCHMARK
FIXED SCORE SCALE
// LINKED SAMPLE
18 BOUTS
// PROFILE UPDATED
AUG 12, 2026
Fighter attribute fingerprint10 of 10 attributes have evidence-backed scores on the Blueprint fixed scale. Unknown axes are not plotted and no score represents a division percentile.KO POWER31TD DEFENSE22GRAPPLING61CHIN81STRIKING33CARDIO66AGGRESSION25SUB THREAT95STR DEFENSE40RECOVERY100
// BANDS
90+ELITE
70-89STRONG
45-69AVERAGE
30-44BELOW
<30LOW
N/AUNKNOWN
Highest scored axis: Recovery. Lowest scored axis: TD Defense.
// EVIDENCE REGISTER
10 SCORED · 0 OPEN
KO Power31
DERIVED PROXY

KO wins divided by total career wins

N=14 wins
TD Defense22
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed takedown defense rate (50%)

Grappling61
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rate

Chin81
DERIVED PROXY

KO-loss durability proxy from career record

N=18 bouts
Striking33
DERIVED PROXY

Composite of observed striking volume and accuracy

Cardio66
DERIVED PROXY

Long-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share

N=18 bouts
Aggression25
DERIVED PROXY

Activity proxy from observed strike and takedown volume

Sub Threat95
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed submission rate (1.9 per 15 min)

Str Defense40
OBSERVED INPUT

Observed striking defense rate (48%)

Recovery100
DERIVED PROXY

Share of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.

N=4 losses
Fighter attribute fingerprint accessible data summary
AttributeScoreProvenanceEvidenceSample
KO Power31 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO wins divided by total career wins14 wins
TD Defense22 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved takedown defense rate (50%)Not recorded
Grappling61 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed takedown volume, accuracy, and submission rateNot recorded
Chin81 out of 100DERIVED PROXYKO-loss durability proxy from career record18 bouts
Striking33 out of 100DERIVED PROXYComposite of observed striking volume and accuracyNot recorded
Cardio66 out of 100DERIVED PROXYLong-fight exposure proxy from bout duration and decision-win share18 bouts
Aggression25 out of 100DERIVED PROXYActivity proxy from observed strike and takedown volumeNot recorded
Sub Threat95 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved submission rate (1.9 per 15 min)Not recorded
Str Defense40 out of 100OBSERVED INPUTObserved striking defense rate (48%)Not recorded
Recovery100 out of 100DERIVED PROXYShare of recorded losses followed by a win in the next recorded bout.4 losses
// CAREER_MOMENTUM · 05_

THE ARC SO FAR

Rolling momentum score (0-100) recomputed after every bout. Weighted blend of result, opponent context, and method-of-finish, designed to show the shape, not the destination.

// MOMENTUM_TIMELINE_
SCOREWINLOSS
0255075100FEB 2009WFEB 2009WJUN 2009WOCT 2009WMAR 2010WAPR 2010LJUN 2010WMAY 2011LJUN 2011WSEP 2011LFEB 2012WNOV 2012WFEB 2013WAPR 2013WAUG 2013LNOV 2014WAPR 2016WAUG 2016WFEB 2017// SCORE

  1. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 45.
  2. Start, FEB 2009, momentum score 55, SUB R1.
  3. Start, JUN 2009, momentum score 62, DEC R3.
  4. Start, OCT 2009, momentum score 72, SUB R1.
  5. Start, MAR 2010, momentum score 81, SUB R1.
  6. Start, APR 2010, momentum score 90, KO/TKO R2.
  7. Start, JUN 2010, momentum score 83, DEC R3.
  8. Start, MAY 2011, momentum score 93, SUB R1.
  9. Start, JUN 2011, momentum score 86, DEC R3.
  10. Start, SEP 2011, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  11. Start, FEB 2012, momentum score 86, KO/TKO R1.
  12. Start, NOV 2012, momentum score 96, SUB R2.
  13. Start, FEB 2013, momentum score 100, DEC R3.
  14. Start, APR 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R5.
  15. Start, AUG 2013, momentum score 100, SUB R1.
  16. Start, NOV 2014, momentum score 93, SUB R2.
  17. Start, APR 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R1.
  18. Start, AUG 2016, momentum score 100, KO/TKO R3.
  19. Start, FEB 2017, momentum score 100, DEC R5.

Peaked at 100 (W vs Naville), bottomed at 45 (Debut). Current reading: 100.

// KILL_SHOT_MATRIX · 06_

WHEN THE FINISHES COME

Cross-tab of fight outcome by method and round. Reads top-down for method, left-right for round. Cyan intensity scales with frequency.

// METHOD × ROUND_
18/18 fights mapped
METHOD ↓ / ROUND →R1R2R3R4R5FREQ
KO/TKO
2
11%
1
6%
1
6%
-
-
4
total
SUB
5
28%
3
17%
-
-
1
6%
9
total
DEC
-
-
4
22%
-
1
6%
5
total
// PRIMARY KILL ZONE
R1-R2 KO/TKO · 3 of 18 mapped
// LATE-FIGHT GAP
R5 finishes on record
// DECISION RATE
28%, fights rarely go the distance
// FIGHT_HISTORY · 08_

BOUT LOG
18 FIGHTS

Detailed bout records for the indexed tenure. Sorted most recent first.

W
VS Yoislandy IzquierdoFeb 17, 2017
DecisionR5 · 5:00
Fight Time Promotions - Fight Time 35
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Rafael AlvesAug 12, 2016
KO/TKOR3 · 2:36
Fight Time Promotions - Fight Time 32
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Leg Kicks)
W
VS Gabriel MirandaApr 22, 2016
KO/TKOR1 · 4:35
Fight Time Promotions - Fight Time 30
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
TKO (Punches)
L
VS Jake MatthewsNov 7, 2014
SubmissionR2 · 1:52
UFC Fight Night 55 - Rockhold vs. Bisping
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Technical Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Randy BarrosoAug 23, 2013
SubmissionR1 · 3:09
Fight Time 16 - Rocha vs. Barroso
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
W
VS J.P. ReeseApr 26, 2013
SubmissionR5 · 2:15
Fight Time 14 - This Means War
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
W
VS Kamrin NavilleFeb 15, 2013
DecisionR3 · 5:00
Fight Time 13 - MMA Kings
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Mike BrunoNov 2, 2012
SubmissionR2 · 0:53
Fight Time 12 - Warriors Collide
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Triangle Choke)
L
VS Jonathan BrookinsFeb 15, 2012
KO/TKOR1 · 1:32
UFC on Fuel TV 1 - Sanchez vs. Ellenberger
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
KO (Punches)
W
VS Cody McKenzieSep 17, 2011
SubmissionR2 · 3:49
UFC Fight Night 25 - Shields vs. Ellenberger
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)
L
VS Donald CerroneJun 11, 2011
DecisionR3 · 5:00
UFC 131 - Dos Santos vs. Carwin
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Decision (Unanimous)
W
VS Jacob ClarkMay 7, 2011
SubmissionR1 · 2:32
MFA - New Generation 5
SECONDARY DETAILS
METHOD
DETAIL
Submission (Armbar)
// FAQ · 09_

CITATION-READY ANSWERS

Quick answers based on the public fighter profile and fight history shown on this page.

Lightweight. Professional record 14-4. Unranked at the time of indexing.

Research Vagner Rocha

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// LAST INDEX SYNC · 2026-10-28