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PUBLISHED FIGHT BREAKDOWNS

UFC & MMA Fight Analysis

Browse fight-by-fight reasoning, event breakdowns, and official pick pages in one place.

Total249 Breakdowns
Analysis145
Live forecast98
SnapshotSep 11, 2026, 6:28:46 PM UTC

Published breakdowns

Page 9
Deep analysis

Dan Ige vs. Melquizael Costa

Melquizael Costa holds a 21% volume advantage and a +1.04 takedown differential over Dan Ige. Our data model predicts a narrow Costa victory by decision.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Douglas Silva de Andrade vs. Javier Reyes

Data-driven breakdown for Douglas Silva de Andrade vs Javier Reyes. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Felipe Bunes vs. Édgar Cháirez

Data-driven breakdown for Felipe Bunes vs Édgar Cháirez. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Geoff Neal vs. Uros Medic

Our Geoff Neal vs Uros Medic breakdown reveals a 9% striking accuracy gap. With Medic landing 60% of strikes, find out why he is the model's upset pick.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle

Our model breaks down Jordan Leavitt vs. Yadier del Valle. Can Leavitt's 2.92 takedown average overcome del Valle's 6.25 strikes per minute? Read the data analysis.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Jose Daniel Medina vs. Ryan Gandra

Data-driven breakdown for Jose Daniel Medina vs Ryan Gandra. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards

Joselyne Edwards brings a 4.73 SLpM striking rate against Nora Cornolle's 2.75. See why our model predicts an upset at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Jacobe Smith vs. Josiah Harrell

UFC Fight Night breakdown: Our model favors Jacobe Smith (51% confidence) to win by decision. Analysis of the 41% decision probability and sharp market moves.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Juliana Miller vs. Carli Judice

A deep statistical analysis of Juliana Miller vs Carli Judice. Can Judice’s 10.73 SLpM volume overcome Miller’s grappling at UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez?

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Kevin Borjas vs. Imanol Rodriguez

Data-driven breakdown for Kevin Borjas vs Imanol Rodriguez. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber

Data-driven breakdown for King Green vs Daniel Zellhuber. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Kris Moutinho vs. Cristian Quiñonez

Data-driven breakdown for Kris Moutinho vs Cristian Quiñonez. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Macy Chiasson vs. Ailin Perez

Data-driven breakdown for Macy Chiasson vs Ailin Perez. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez

Data-driven breakdown for Marlon Vera vs David Martinez. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Ode' Osbourne vs. Alibi Idiris

Ode' Osbourne vs Alibi Idiris breakdown: Analyzing Idiris's 50% strike accuracy and Osbourne's layoff risk. Data predicts a 41% decision probability.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Phil Rowe vs. Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Phil Rowe faces Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani at UFC Fight Night. Our model predicts a Rowe win (51% confidence) as Lebosnoyani’s 9.71 SLpM faces massive ring rust.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Punahele Soriano

Punahele Soriano’s 4.66 SLpM and 54% accuracy meet Ramiz Brahimaj’s 2.0 submission average. Our data model favors Soriano (57%) in this tactical clash.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez

Anthony Hernandez's 6.46 takedowns per 15 minutes meet Sean Strickland's 13-month layoff. A data-driven look at the UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez breakdown.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Wes Schultz vs. Damian Pinas

Data-driven breakdown for Wes Schultz vs Damian Pinas. Statistical analysis, method probabilities, and AI prediction.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Deep analysis

Zach Reese vs. Michel Pereira

Michel Pereira vs. Zach Reese breakdown: Pereira's 76% takedown defense meets Reese's 3.41 TD average. We analyze why our model favors a Pereira KO at 59%.

Updated May 14, 2026OPEN
Live forecast fallback

Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa Live Forecast

Public forecast page for a published matchup without a published analysis article.

Published Apr 18, 2026OPEN
Live forecast fallback

Gilbert Burns vs. Mike Malott Live Forecast

Public forecast page for a published matchup without a published analysis article.

Published Apr 18, 2026OPEN
Live forecast fallback

Jamie Siraj vs. John Yannis Live Forecast

Public forecast page for a published matchup without a published analysis article.

Published Apr 18, 2026OPEN
Live forecast fallback

Jasmine Jasudavicius vs. Karine Silva Live Forecast

Public forecast page for a published matchup without a published analysis article.

Published Apr 18, 2026OPEN

What is in a full fight breakdown?

A full breakdown can include the likely method and round, the main and alternate paths to victory, matchup pressure points, reasoning, and supporting evidence.

When are breakdowns updated?

The archive updates as new breakdowns are published and as settled result information becomes available.

How should I use this archive?

Browse the newest published breakdowns, then open any fight for its available pick, reasoning, and result information.