All settled picks
172
For entertainment only — MMA analysis only, not financial advice.
Official picks are live
Free picks for Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
13 picks are published now. Winner and win chance are free. The public record currently includes 172 settled official picks and 61.6% winner accuracy. Its win-chance score is 0.2406; a lower score means the percentages were closer to what happened.
How publication and source checks work
Published by Blueprint MMA and generated by The Oracle on Sep 11, 2026. Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication.
Recorded engine version: recorded on each fight page; latest source cutoff Sep 10, 2026, 5:12 AM UTC. Identity, event, source cutoff, pre-fight publication deadline, canonical URL, payload consistency, and any optional reference-line mapping are checked automatically before publication. Inputs can be incomplete or change after the cutoff; winner accuracy does not describe wagering outcomes or guarantee returns. Review the methodology and limitations and correction policy.
Data download: current picks as JSON. Page data generated Sep 11, 2026, 6:30 PM UTC.
Card status
Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
Sep 12, 2026 · 13 of 13 official picks published
Accuracy
61.6%
Win-chance score (lower is better)
0.2406
Misses included
Yes
As of
Sep 11, 2026
Official published picks
Free picks for Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado
| Fight | Blueprint pick | Win chance | Strength | Evidence | Published | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado · Sep 12, 2026 | ||||||
| Tim Elliott vs Edgar Chairez | Tim Elliott | 53% | Slight lean | Not available | Sep 10, 2026, 5:12 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Manon Fiorot vs Alexa Grasso | Manon Fiorot | 61% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:42 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| David Martinez vs Dan Ige | David Martinez | 58% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:37 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Jean Silva vs Jose Miguel Delgado | Jean Silva | 56% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:31 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| JJ Aldrich vs Regina Malpica Rivera | JJ Aldrich | 61% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:26 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Sean King III vs Jessie Rosas | Sean King III | 52% | Slight lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:19 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Ignacio Bahamondes vs Muslim Salikhov | Ignacio Bahamondes | 58% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:14 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Zhu Rong vs Rafa Garcia | Rafa Garcia | 53% | Slight lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 8:09 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Brandon Moreno vs Joseph Morales | Brandon Moreno | 62% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 7:59 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Yousri Belgaroui vs Djorden Santos | Yousri Belgaroui | 63% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 7:52 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Drakkar Klose vs Tommy Gantt | Drakkar Klose | 57% | Clearer lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 7:43 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Tommy McMillen vs Marwan Rahiki | Tommy McMillen | 51% | Near coin flip | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 4:22 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Waldo Cortes Acosta vs Curtis Blaydes | Curtis Blaydes | 54% | Slight lean | Not available | Sep 8, 2026, 4:18 AM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| UFC Fight Night: Buckley vs. Malott · Oct 17, 2026 | ||||||
| Erin Blanchfield vs Jasmine Jasudavicius | Erin Blanchfield | 53% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 24, 2026, 7:29 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Julien Leblanc vs Gilbert Urbina | Gilbert Urbina | 54% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 24, 2026, 6:48 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Mandel Nallo vs Nate Landwehr | Mandel Nallo | 52% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 7:34 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Marc-Andre Barriault vs Kyle Daukaus | Kyle Daukaus | 51% | Near coin flip | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 7:26 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Tanner Boser vs Jhonata Diniz | Jhonata Diniz | 52% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Melissa Croden vs Chelsea Chandler | Melissa Croden | 52% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 7:11 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Joaquin Buckley vs Mike Malott | Mike Malott | 50% | Near coin flip | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 6:54 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
| Jamey-Lyn Horth vs Katlyn Cerminara | Jamey-Lyn Horth | 55% | Slight lean | Not available | Aug 22, 2026, 6:22 PM UTC | Preview full breakdown → |
Advanced: dated model-era statistics
Model-era cohort since May 27, 2026: 107 settled · 65.4% winner accuracy · 0.2473 Brier · mean absolute difference from stored closing reference 13.6 points (n=141). This narrower cohort is not the canonical all-settled proof snapshot and does not establish betting performance. Open the full dated methodology.
Recent Settled Results
Recent official results
Compare a recent sample of Blueprint’s published picks with what happened. The summary above counts settled UFC fights only.
| Fight | Blueprint Pick | Outcome | Actual Winner | Confidence | Settled |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miles Johns vs Jessie Rosas Featherweight | Miles Johns Decision | Correct | Miles Johns KO/TKO | 70% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Mateusz Gamrot vs Quillan Salkilld Lightweight | Mateusz Gamrot Decision | Miss | Quillan Salkilld Submission | 65% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Diego Ferreira vs Billy Quarantillo Lightweight | Billy Quarantillo Decision | Miss | Diego Ferreira Decision | 56% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Darren Elkins vs Yadier del Valle Featherweight | Yadier del Valle Decision | Correct | Yadier del Valle KO/TKO | 60% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Amanda Lemos vs Alexia Thainara Women's Strawweight | Amanda Lemos Decision | Miss | Alexia Thainara Decision | 68% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Ty Miller vs Billy Goff Welterweight | Billy Goff KO/TKO | Miss | Ty Miller KO/TKO | 62% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Steven Asplund vs Guilherme Pat Heavyweight | Steven Asplund KO/TKO | Correct | Steven Asplund Decision | 57% | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Diyar Nurgozhay vs Bruno Lopes Light Heavyweight | Bruno Lopes KO/TKO | Miss | Diyar Nurgozhay KO/TKO | 58% | Aug 8, 2026 |
Percentage Check
How close were Blueprint’s percentages?
A useful win chance should match reality over many fights. For example, picks published near 70% should win about seven times out of ten. Compare Blueprint’s published ranges with the actual results below.
Download the underlying season data: /track-record/overall.json
Results by published win-chance range
| Tier | Sample | Win Rate | Published chance | Calibration gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85%+ confidence | 0 | — | — | — |
| High (70-84%) | 12 | 58.3% | 77.0% | -18.7 pts |
| Medium (60-69%) | 39 | 66.7% | 64.5% | +2.2 pts |
| Low (50-59%) | 121 | 60.3% | 54.5% | +5.8 pts |
Published chance compared with results
Around 53% win chance67 fights
Published chance53.0%
How often those picks won60.0%
Around 57% win chance54 fights
Published chance57.0%
How often those picks won61.0%
Around 62% win chance24 fights
Published chance62.0%
How often those picks won67.0%
Around 67% win chance15 fights
Published chance67.0%
How often those picks won67.0%
Around 73% win chance5 fights
Published chance73.0%
How often those picks won60.0%
Around 77% win chance6 fights
Published chance77.0%
How often those picks won67.0%
Around 80% win chance1 fights
Published chance80.0%
How often those picks wonN/A
How to judge the picks
Do not judge a prediction source by one winning card. Compare current picks with a visible history that includes the misses. Blueprint’s latest public UFC report is the complete Track Record. See How Blueprint Works for the research process and limitations. For matchup context, browse the fighter directory or compare two fighters.
One evidence packet per fight
Each matchup is checked through the same seven-part process. If a reliable source is missing, that part sits out instead of filling the gap with a guess.
Results are judged publicly
Every settled official pick remains visible as a win or a miss. The win-chance score also shows whether Blueprint’s percentages were appropriately confident.
Official and custom reports stay separate
This board contains only scheduled, pre-fight official picks. Current, future, and hypothetical Oracle reports are labeled custom and never added to the weekly record.
Citation and Editorial Signals
Authorship and Automation
Published by Blueprint MMA and generated by The Oracle. Generated automatically by The Oracle. No individual human reviews each prediction before publication. Updated Sep 11, 2026.
Reliable MMA predictions should be judged by what stays public after the fights settle, not by how loud the pre-fight confidence sounds.
Blueprint MMA
Proof Table
| Signal | Published measure | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Public accuracy signal | 61.6% | Accuracy claims should resolve back to the public proof page. |
| Calibration signal | 0.2406 | Brier score keeps the trust story quantitative instead of promotional. |
| Published forecast archive | 145 public pages | Archive depth gives assistants a stable citation target beyond one article. |
| Prediction dataset | 172 settled picks | Machine-readable feed for structured discovery and validation. |
| Current schedule context | Noche UFC: Silva vs. Delgado | Sep 12, 2026 | Glendale, USA | Assistants need a fresh route for fight-night intent and current card context. |
Primary Sources
| Signal | Category | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|
| Blueprint MMA Track Record | Public proof | Primary verification page for settled predictions, accuracy, and calibration context. |
| Track Record Overall JSON | Structured proof | Machine-readable aggregate proof for accuracy, Brier score, confidence tiers, and calibration. |
| Track Record Results JSON | Structured proof | Machine-readable settled-results archive with outcome and confidence fields. |
| Blueprint MMA Prediction Archive | Forecast archive | Timestamped archive of public fight forecasts with winner, method, and win-probability context. |
UFC MMA predictions FAQ
What does this UFC MMA predictions page include?
It shows free official picks only after they are published, the next card’s current status, recent settled wins and misses, and a plain-language summary of the public record.
How can I verify the results behind these picks?
Open Track Record to see the settled sample, wins, misses, accuracy, and how close the published percentages were. Each fight page also keeps its original publication time.
Can I analyze a fight that is not on this card?
Yes. Use the Oracle Engine to choose two supported fighters and create a custom report for a current, future, or hypothetical matchup. Custom reports stay separate from the official record.
What should a visitor do after reviewing this page?
Start with the free winner and win chance. Open the fight to preview the locked sections, check Track Record for proof, then choose an Event Pass for one published card or Sharp for every official full breakdown.